HeadInTheClouds
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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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Simply not true. Snow doesn't start for 36 hours and both 12z Nam and RGEM had decent amounts in NYC.
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GFS will continue to correct west.
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It won't. It's way too stubborn. It should come a little west though.
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Thought it was an overall disappointing run after the west trends tonight, especially for N and W. That's the 4th straight run it's reduced my qpf. Hoping things get fine tuned tomorrow.
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He's hiding in the shadows upset that it may actually snow.
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H5 on the 00z run was really good but the surface depiction after hour 60 was a joke. The GFS and Nam both suck.
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Just a tad.
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These models are so so bad. Ukie gives a major snowstorm to NYC after giving them nothing at 12z. So bad. GFS is still lost in Newfoundland and 18z Nam was a total embarrassment. Good Lord.
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You said it was hard to jump on board when the GFS was so far east. I responded saying it's not hard to jump on board. Every other model came west and 18z Euro was a good run so GFS is on it's own. GFS is a lousy model tbh.
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No it's not. GFS is on it's own right now.
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More like solitaire
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So Nam, Rgem, Cmc, Icon, Jma came west and GFS gave a snowstorm to Newfoundland.
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GFS is stupid and stubborn. A crap model. That and the Nam are the best this country can do?
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For the first 60 hours, then it was a train wreck.
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Exactly. Im near 84 and NWS Albany has my most probable snow accums at 4.4 FWIW.
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It still gives N and W 3-6 so at least it's not zero.
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NWS Albany has my most likely snowfall amount in Dutchess county as 4.4 with a min of 0 and a max of 14, so the goalposts are indeed still wide.
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Definitely the Jets. They can't be trusted beyond 48 hours especially with a setup like this.
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According to the 18z nam I'm going to have to drive to Newfoundland to see a snowstorm.
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That was a laughable run by the 18z nam.
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yes, this run cut my precip basically in half from 1.4 at 12z to .75, big difference.
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It depends where you live. N and W of NYC gets nowhere near that on this run.
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For me N and W it cut qpf in half so a little dicey with that run.
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It's significant for N and W peeps. It was further west and N and W precip was more robust.
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It's been a crap model for a long time but it got 1 or 2 things right this winter and people have recency bias I guess.
