HeadInTheClouds
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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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29, light snow, dusting -
Those max bands could still dump .75 to 1 inch per hour.
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I second that. It's falling at night and especially in the HV it's going to stick. I'm thinking 2-3, isolated 4 for most on this board.
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It's still decent. Slightly south of benchmark track. I'll take 2-4 right now.
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Nice 18z Nam run FWIW
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Much better than previous run. RGEM next.
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Good luck with that. It's ridiculous to say the GFS nailed this storm except for the QPF. Thats like saying a goalie has good form and is square to the puck but then can't stop a beachball. I understand the precip gradient was always going to be very tight but nearly every other model had it much different. GFS brought some precip up to HV. It's a lousy model.
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The other models weren't showing anything really for NYC metro. The GFS has consistently been a poor model. For instance it has nothing for the 7th threat while other globals like Euro, CMC, UKIE have been showing a legit threat. Guess who my money is on.
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Yes, but the QPF parameter is the most important to snow lovers. Most other models gave nothing to very little for NYC metro especially mesos. GFS is a POS.
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Forget about any snow in Rockland. Too far north.
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Up here in Albany visiting family. 31 with flurries.
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Concerning the 6/7th time period, It's not just the 18z GFS showing a storm signal. The 12z Euro, Ukie, and ICON(FWIW) all showed a possible significant storm.
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Yeah, like about on Thursday.
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It had frozen N and W on other runs as well just not this much. I do agree that it is still way too early in the game but at least it may be something.
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It did have something, the deepening low was just farther north than this latest run.
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It's insane to run the GFS out to 384 hours. I don't trust any operational beyond 72.
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Had a period of snow earlier that put down a dusting. Right now 30 with sleet and ZR.
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31 with light snow.
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30 and overcast. Not expecting much from this, .5-1 inch with some sleet and ZR. Hoping NAM is on to something tomorrow night as that seems a little more robust. It's been really consistent with it.
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CMC had a similar evolution at 12z although a little further west.
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Picked up 3/4 of an inch, looks nice. 26 and cloudy now. WWA for ZR tonight.
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Same here a little north of Poughkeepsie. 28 with Light/moderate snow, coating right now.
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And possibly HV. 27 right now.
