HeadInTheClouds
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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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20/17 with moderate snow. -
Really? Did anybody think it was going to snow for hours and pick up 1, maybe 2 inches in NYC metro?
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I always expected 2-4 north of 84 IMBY. I think mixing holds off until 2-3am. I don't think we get more than 4. Downsloping in the valley will probably keep that from happening. Terrain is important with this storm.
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Snowman should be making an appearance to tell us how the 00z nam is a torch and it's going to rain shortly.
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21 with steady light snow here about 20 miles north of 84. First flakes started about 10 minutes ago.
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21/8 and cloudy. First flakes about an hour away.
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DCA reporting 24/20 with moderate snow.
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How come you never mention other meso's that are colder? It still appears well north and west of NYC there will be a 3-4 hour period of snow even on 3k which is most aggressive with warming. The thing that is going to keep snow accums down more than anything up here is downsloping.
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20 and sunny after a low of 0. Expecting 2-4 before changeover to sleet and ZR. Ground is frozen solid up here and won't warm up easily.
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It's still the same 3-4 hour window for snow on 3K nam, just starts a little earlier.
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It will likely change to plain rain Monday morning around dawn but most precip should be done by then. I'm 20 miles north of 84 in Dutchess county. Still expecting 2-4 inches of snow starting around 10 pm before changeover to sleet and ZR 3-4 hours later. I think it snows pretty good in that small window and then maybe some snow showers later on Monday. I have included NWS Albany updated snow forecast which was slightly lowered.
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Maybe, maybe not. 3 hours of heavy snow could give us that total. I guess we will see how it plays out.
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I saw 84, my bad. I'll put you back on ignore and save us both the headache. It's still not a non event whether it's rain, mix, or snow. It will still have an impact especially with that wind potential.
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He posts the same bullshit for every storm. It's annoying and I'm not taking it personally.
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I posted what the pros at the NWS expect along and north of 84. Maybe you should give them a call and let them know your thinking. BTW 3-4 inches of snow plus sleet and ZR with strong winds is not a non event. Let me know what they say and when they are going to change their forecast after speaking to you.
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Along and north of 84 it's still going to snow for a period. About 4.5 forecast for Poughkeepsie with a low of 2 and a max of 6 expected.
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Yes everybody is going to mix with this setup but front end dump is definitely on the table for N and W. Surface temps are also important though when you look at sleet and ZR vs just plain rain. It may be that 50+ N and W doesn't get that much rain if cold air is locked in at the surface. It's something we just don't know yet and topography plays a big part in that. Remember it's going to be very cold this weekend.
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Thats not true. You can get a decent front end dump 50+ miles N and W with this setup, then mix, then maybe rain depending on how quickly surface temps warm Monday morning.
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Basically the same as 18z.
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This thread has seemed to have gone off the rails.
