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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    I'm talking about before that storm. First 2 weeks of December there were some saying the fat lady was about to sing. I understand this winter not be anywhere near last winter's total but I do expect several snow chances. Last years D-J-F temps were above normal also but we managed some decent amounts. The average December snowfall in NYC is about 4 inches with less than a 25% chance of a White Christmas so it's not that great a month for snow anyway although this one has been very warm. Hopefully things get better next month.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Many people were throwing in the towel last December as well. I wound up with 60 inches, over 30 in February.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    The next time I trust any operational beyond 5 days will be the first, especially the GFS.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    This is a good point. Next 5 nights are forecast to be well below freezing at night up by me so that should help.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    63 today, expecting a mix up here on Saturday.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    That's nuts that they are still blooming on Dec 15th. Haven't see that in a while up here in mid HV. Last night had a low of 22 and still only 35 right now. Has central park hit freezing yet?
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Picked up .5 inch of snow last night with a low of 23. 36 for a high today.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    It's like night and day from where I live in the MHV to NYC metro and it's only about 75-80 miles to Manhattan. No leaves, already had a little snow last weekend, and it's gone down to 20* a few nights. Has Central Park hit freezing yet?
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Euro also showing possible accums N and W.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup. I got 5 inches but it was spread out over about 16 hours and there were no problems.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    I don't think there is a question the HV will be in the in 5-6 inch range, some spots may get even more. Up here in Dutchess county where I am 20 miles north of 84 it's been raining all day and approaching 2 inches. Main event I suspect will be 8pm-1am, something like that.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    No. Top winds were 150 officially so it never made it to Cat 5.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    I can't believe this thread is so quiet. Another 3+ inches in the area in a short amount of time to cause some flooding problems especially with what has fallen recently.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Well then it's playing tricks on a lot of people because it seems to be moving nw to me also. If you say so. It looks like it slowed down and hasn't made much northward movement.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Tell me this is not moving NW. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir Looks like its moving NW.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    It's got another 12 hours over some really warm water.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    To me it's looking better on visible satellite. You can see the circulation and higher cloud tops forming around the center and will be over warm water next 12-18 hours. Definitely a small core but still can do some damage especially with the heavy rains as you said.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    I know it can but why make the changes tonight. Nam and rgem had trended east as did the gfs a little later, plus euro is a big run tonight as well. I just don't understand why they made that westward shift at 11pm instead of waiting for 5am update.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Why would NHC bring track considerably west at 11pm before globals come out? I would think they could have waited until 5am to make changes. Nam, Rgem, and now GFS have tracked over extreme eastern LI.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Sure, lets drop the warnings as the NHC track actually came a little west.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    I edited my post. I realized there was 12-13 inches indicated by the euro near Cooperstown NY in central NY. I initially was looking at the Catskills which isn't that far from me and had only 5-6 inches.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, but that 12-14 was totally incorrect. 6 inches is still a lot of rain especially with what has fallen recently. Edit: I just saw that Euro does give part of central NY state 12 inches, not the Catskills but that would still be very bad.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    No it doesn't. It gives that area 5-6 inches thru 12z Tuesday.
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