HeadInTheClouds
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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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Horrible map. I would bet the mortgage NYC sees more than 3-5. -
GFS is garbage. V16 much more plausible. GFS gives NYC metro like .30 LE. Don't think thats happening. GFS ensembles well west of op.
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Nam at it's extended range has been better than GFS so here's hoping. That's a perfect position at hour 84.
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Ok, he can lose a few billion but we still need some money to sign more free agents.
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I've always wanted to visit the red light district in Amsterdam.
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I feel the GFS is not handling this well as far as qpf is concerned. It's underdone IMO. CMC, GFSv16, and ICON all give NYC metro 1.5+ and GFS is only .60 or so. It doesn't make sense just like it didn't make sense with Dec 16/17th storm.
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Yup. I weigh the ICON more heavily than GFS lol.
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The position of the low isn't that bad but the qpf output is putrid. It has about .3 for NYC. I honestly hate this model and can't wait for it to be replaced.
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I doubt the GFS is right, precip is so meager. Gfs gives me 2-3 and V16 gives me 12, 15 if you use kuchera.
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It really is. It's going to be torture watching the slow northward progression of precip up to 84.
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Why would it be only 10:1? I'm thinking at least 12:1.
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This is true. I think ratios will be higher than 10:1 N and W. Climatology is 12:1 where I am in MHV and could be higher.
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When is the GFS being replaced?
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The main low is farther west closer to coast. That is what caused warming along the coast. That 993 low may be low developing on occlusion.
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I really want everybody to get decent snows with this one but something tells me somebody is going to get screwed royally and it could be IMBY. The better models are further south right now. The fact that GFS and ICON are further north and Euro, Ukie, CMC farther south does not make me warm and fuzzy but still 5 days away.
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It depends on where you are I guess. Have 2.5 here with light snow still falling. It's about what I expected.
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27 with light to occasionally moderate snow. 1.5 inches so far.
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28 with light snow. About an inch.