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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. I don't think there is a question the HV will be in the in 5-6 inch range, some spots may get even more. Up here in Dutchess county where I am 20 miles north of 84 it's been raining all day and approaching 2 inches. Main event I suspect will be 8pm-1am, something like that.
  2. I can't believe this thread is so quiet. Another 3+ inches in the area in a short amount of time to cause some flooding problems especially with what has fallen recently.
  3. Well then it's playing tricks on a lot of people because it seems to be moving nw to me also. If you say so. It looks like it slowed down and hasn't made much northward movement.
  4. To me it's looking better on visible satellite. You can see the circulation and higher cloud tops forming around the center and will be over warm water next 12-18 hours. Definitely a small core but still can do some damage especially with the heavy rains as you said.
  5. I know it can but why make the changes tonight. Nam and rgem had trended east as did the gfs a little later, plus euro is a big run tonight as well. I just don't understand why they made that westward shift at 11pm instead of waiting for 5am update.
  6. Why would NHC bring track considerably west at 11pm before globals come out? I would think they could have waited until 5am to make changes. Nam, Rgem, and now GFS have tracked over extreme eastern LI.
  7. I edited my post. I realized there was 12-13 inches indicated by the euro near Cooperstown NY in central NY. I initially was looking at the Catskills which isn't that far from me and had only 5-6 inches.
  8. Yes, but that 12-14 was totally incorrect. 6 inches is still a lot of rain especially with what has fallen recently. Edit: I just saw that Euro does give part of central NY state 12 inches, not the Catskills but that would still be very bad.
  9. Got blasted with severe storm yesterday afternoon. 10-15 minutes of fury with quarter sized hail and 70mph winds. Lost power for 8 hours and parts of town still without. Trees and power lines down everywhere. Hoping there is no repeat later today.
  10. 33 with steady light snow. Looks like it will be done soon. 3 inches. 53.5 for the season. Roads are a mess but looks pretty out there. What a great February. 32 for the month.
  11. 28 and cloudy. WWA for 2-5, expecting towards the lower end 2-3.
  12. That sounds about right. Eastern PA to NW Jersey could see 3-5. I'm expecting 2-3 by me in MHV.
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