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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    No. Top winds were 150 officially so it never made it to Cat 5.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    I can't believe this thread is so quiet. Another 3+ inches in the area in a short amount of time to cause some flooding problems especially with what has fallen recently.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Well then it's playing tricks on a lot of people because it seems to be moving nw to me also. If you say so. It looks like it slowed down and hasn't made much northward movement.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Tell me this is not moving NW. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir Looks like its moving NW.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    It's got another 12 hours over some really warm water.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    To me it's looking better on visible satellite. You can see the circulation and higher cloud tops forming around the center and will be over warm water next 12-18 hours. Definitely a small core but still can do some damage especially with the heavy rains as you said.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    I know it can but why make the changes tonight. Nam and rgem had trended east as did the gfs a little later, plus euro is a big run tonight as well. I just don't understand why they made that westward shift at 11pm instead of waiting for 5am update.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Why would NHC bring track considerably west at 11pm before globals come out? I would think they could have waited until 5am to make changes. Nam, Rgem, and now GFS have tracked over extreme eastern LI.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Sure, lets drop the warnings as the NHC track actually came a little west.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    I edited my post. I realized there was 12-13 inches indicated by the euro near Cooperstown NY in central NY. I initially was looking at the Catskills which isn't that far from me and had only 5-6 inches.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, but that 12-14 was totally incorrect. 6 inches is still a lot of rain especially with what has fallen recently. Edit: I just saw that Euro does give part of central NY state 12 inches, not the Catskills but that would still be very bad.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    No it doesn't. It gives that area 5-6 inches thru 12z Tuesday.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    Got blasted with severe storm yesterday afternoon. 10-15 minutes of fury with quarter sized hail and 70mph winds. Lost power for 8 hours and parts of town still without. Trees and power lines down everywhere. Hoping there is no repeat later today.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Wound up with an inch, 54.5 for season.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    33 with steady light snow. Looks like it will be done soon. 3 inches. 53.5 for the season. Roads are a mess but looks pretty out there. What a great February. 32 for the month.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    32 and steady light/moderate snow, roads are not good.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    31 with moderate snow, about an inch so far.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    33 with moderate snow, starting to stick.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    28 and cloudy. WWA for 2-5, expecting towards the lower end 2-3.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    That sounds about right. Eastern PA to NW Jersey could see 3-5. I'm expecting 2-3 by me in MHV.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    About noon.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    This was looking like a 1-3 inch type event N and W for a few days now. The models have gotten colder over the last few runs so NYC metro should see some snow too but how much actually accumulates is the question with the bulk of precip in afternoon. I think it will snow at 1'/hr for a brief time so that will help.
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