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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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No. Top winds were 150 officially so it never made it to Cat 5.
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I can't believe this thread is so quiet. Another 3+ inches in the area in a short amount of time to cause some flooding problems especially with what has fallen recently.
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Well then it's playing tricks on a lot of people because it seems to be moving nw to me also. If you say so. It looks like it slowed down and hasn't made much northward movement.
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
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Tell me this is not moving NW. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=ir Looks like its moving NW.
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It's got another 12 hours over some really warm water.
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To me it's looking better on visible satellite. You can see the circulation and higher cloud tops forming around the center and will be over warm water next 12-18 hours. Definitely a small core but still can do some damage especially with the heavy rains as you said.
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I know it can but why make the changes tonight. Nam and rgem had trended east as did the gfs a little later, plus euro is a big run tonight as well. I just don't understand why they made that westward shift at 11pm instead of waiting for 5am update.
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Why would NHC bring track considerably west at 11pm before globals come out? I would think they could have waited until 5am to make changes. Nam, Rgem, and now GFS have tracked over extreme eastern LI.
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Sure, lets drop the warnings as the NHC track actually came a little west.
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I edited my post. I realized there was 12-13 inches indicated by the euro near Cooperstown NY in central NY. I initially was looking at the Catskills which isn't that far from me and had only 5-6 inches.
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Yes, but that 12-14 was totally incorrect. 6 inches is still a lot of rain especially with what has fallen recently. Edit: I just saw that Euro does give part of central NY state 12 inches, not the Catskills but that would still be very bad.
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No it doesn't. It gives that area 5-6 inches thru 12z Tuesday.
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Got blasted with severe storm yesterday afternoon. 10-15 minutes of fury with quarter sized hail and 70mph winds. Lost power for 8 hours and parts of town still without. Trees and power lines down everywhere. Hoping there is no repeat later today.
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OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
33 with steady light snow. Looks like it will be done soon. 3 inches. 53.5 for the season. Roads are a mess but looks pretty out there. What a great February. 32 for the month. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
32 and steady light/moderate snow, roads are not good. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
31 with moderate snow, about an inch so far. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
33 with moderate snow, starting to stick. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
28 and cloudy. WWA for 2-5, expecting towards the lower end 2-3. -
That sounds about right. Eastern PA to NW Jersey could see 3-5. I'm expecting 2-3 by me in MHV.