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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS and Ukie still cold and CMC trended slightly colder.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    You got that right. Im not sure if it's right but I hope so. The GFS tends to be stubborn when it locks onto something but then eventually caves to other guidance. It did that with the last storm.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    The farther north and west you are the better chance you have with this one. I'm 20 miles north of 84 so hoping for some snow after initial rain, then sleet/ZR. We will see.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    Maybe even Wednesday night. The Nam was atrocious in it's long range with the last storm.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    The front and wave or waves have plenty of moisture associated with this setup. The big question with this is how quickly the cold air pushes south and what precip type is the result and where. That is complicated and has not been resolved yet.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    That depends on where you live. Im north of 84 and it gives me plenty of ZR and sleet. Like I said its a battle and a long way to go on this one but I wouldn't be surprised if models continue to trend colder.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS was a dumpster fire also. It had hardly any snow for the area, including Long Island, 48 hours before snow began.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    That artic high means business and models starting to pick up on it. Ukie was the colder outlier but ICON FWIW has trended significantly south and GFS also. GFS verbatim gives me a little rain to sleet to heavy snow. It's a battle and we are in the battle zone.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    That icing could be serious up here along 84 and north.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    12Z Cmc has also trended colder. Give area frozen precip after initial rain.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    The 00z Euro and Ukie are significantly different and colder from the GFS and both bring good snows to the area. 12z GFS has trended more south and wave is weaker which is good if you want snow.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    And this was less than 48 hours before snow began. Just brutal.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Definitely bears watching. GFS and CMC are mostly rain but Euro and Ukie are both colder and have significant snow.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    He is enjoying his foot but it's usually in his mouth after his weather forecasts.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    This was the GFS performance for this storm.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    One thing that is always trending is you being wrong in the end.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    CP, somebody said that was for today and the total for the storm was closer to 9. That might even be low. Im not sure.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Exactly. And then try to tell us how the next potential storm is not going to work out. Rinse. Lather. Repeat.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    He must be talking about another GFS model in an alternate universe because the one that I was tracking with this storm put on an embarrassing display and as usual caved to the other models late in the game.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    What eastward extreme? Parts of NYC metro got a foot of snow when that POS model was only giving a snowstorm to the Canadian Maritimes 48 hours before game time. It was absolutely God awful with this storm. One of the worst performances ever.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    The POS GFS did so poorly with this storm. Such a trash model.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Someone who will remain nameless insisted I would need shorts and short sleeves shirts in February. Yeah, Im just not seeing it.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, just saw that. Of course the GooFuS is different.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    9* with light snow and windy up here in central Dutchess county. Hard to tell how much but best guess is around 2 inches.
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