HeadInTheClouds
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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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And the ratios are going to be high as well N and W. Climo up by me in Dutchess is 12:1 and I suspect it could be 15:1 or higher with this storm. Euro gives me 1.40 qpf. I'd sign for that now but do want it to come a tick west.
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Rgem at 84 hours was a little quicker with the phase and position of the trough compared to cmc. That is what I was hoping for cmc but not there yet.
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The RGEM looked very good so GGEM should be much improved.
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The model we see is the operational. There are also 51 or so different ensemble members that provide different solutions and are usually looked at in the mid and longer term so he is saying just treat the operational like one of those and just another solution that may or may not be right until closer to the event. IMO operationals have a lot of variablility beyond 72 hours.
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I got 1.5 inches of snow tonight. That may be more than I get from this, lol.
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GFS was an improvement but still not good. Blah.
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27 and still moderate snow but looks to be ending soon. Picked up an inch. -
27 and moderate snow here, about 1/4 inch.
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Thanks. I forgot the 18z only went out to 84 hours.
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Thats only 12z Saturday so likely still snowing.
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CMC is not running on pivotal weather. Do you have any QPF or snow amounts from the french site?
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28, light snow, dusting
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I would bet big money on it being wide right once again.
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29 and snow shower here, no accums yet though.
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Just for shits and giggles because we have had so little this year.
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Trough is still too far east for us to get anything significant.
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Im not giving up on Tuesday just yet. 12z GFS and CMC show a decent wintry event especially N and W.
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8* at 10am. It's pretty damn cold outside. We should have no problem getting below zero tonight up here.
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I would be pretty cold in short sleeves if this verified.
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Sure I am. Just like cold and winter was over in December. January is going to be well below normal so it stands to reason that Feb may have a warmup. You never miss a chance to accentuate warmth and no snow. If one long range prog shows it you will jump all over it. It's what you do. I have never once seen you excited about a potential wintry event. You are always quiet when it does snow. You are a broken record that has zero credibility. Please change your screen name to warmandwet.
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No it doesn't. It was also supposed to be over in December.
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It was all snow here, not a lot but looks nice. Picked up .5 inch for a whopping 7 for the season. 31 right now with some sun.
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That makes sense though. It could be slippery tomorrow morning even if only an inch or 2.
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