Would they? I could see that N and W but some on here have said that ratios would not reach that level from NYC and east due to strong winds and that 10:1 was more likely.
It gives NYC about an inch and that's only at 12z when before it gave nothing. Most other models give 6-8. Which forecast do you think is most likely given what we have seen so far?
Dutchess county and me north of 84 may actually only get 2-4, that is possible, but places like Rockland that you mentioned should get 6 or possibly more.
That may be true but 4-8 or 6-8 is still a good storm if that is the end result. You make it seem like it's going to be 1-3. I wouldn't too much trust in the GFS.
Thought it was an overall disappointing run after the west trends tonight, especially for N and W. That's the 4th straight run it's reduced my qpf. Hoping things get fine tuned tomorrow.
These models are so so bad. Ukie gives a major snowstorm to NYC after giving them nothing at 12z. So bad. GFS is still lost in Newfoundland and 18z Nam was a total embarrassment. Good Lord.
You said it was hard to jump on board when the GFS was so far east. I responded saying it's not hard to jump on board. Every other model came west and 18z Euro was a good run so GFS is on it's own. GFS is a lousy model tbh.