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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    The models often tend to overestimate the mid level warming in these situations and it's still over 4 days away. NYC getting a few hours of front end snow is still plausible and those details we really don't know at this point.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    I do hate it, especially for east coast storms, but I'm not throwing anything out 4.5 days away and act like nothing can change. I don't believe NYC is getting anywhere near the 6 inches it shows but some some front end snow is still in play. The Cmc tends to have a warm bias also. Still too early to be making definitive statements. That was my point.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    You've seen enough? It's over 4 days away. The city could still see a few hours of snow at the beginning before changeover. GFS still gives metro a a good amount on front end. Not saying it's right but way too early to be turning off the lights on the front end snows. This has always been a system that the further north you are the more snow but NYC could definitely see some.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    I think you are jumping the gun on that right now. Even the CMC keeps NYC metro mostly frozen.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, I noticed that too, it's less amped and in and out pretty quickly. It does give most .5-.7 liquid equivalent though which for me is snow and sleet. Long way to go with this.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    According to him every event is either a torch or a miss and yet it still snows.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Not here unfortunately. Got 10 minutes of moderate/heavy snow and some gusty winds but nothing near whiteout. About 10 miles north of me got a heavy squall.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    33 and getting dark. NWS just issued a snow squall warning.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    28 with continuing light snow. Got a solid coating everywhere.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Nothing can be discounted at this lead time. I think GFS is too cold but that arctic high and CAD cannot be discounted. I do think most people will see a front end dump of snow, changing to a mix, and then rain along the coast. The more north you are the more snow and many places well N and W may stay all frozen. Could be a real mess.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    30 with steady light/moderate snow, dusting. A preview to squall line this afternoon. Looking forward to the 15 minutes of mayhem.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Im not so sure about that but too early for those details.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    34 and breezy. Snow showers and a snow squall possible tomorrow. Hrrr showing an impressive squall line tomorrow afternoon. Wind advisory also up for tomorrow by me for 15-30, gusts to 50.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    My money is on Doorman
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    It's more amped as is it's bias but does develop a secondary and still has some accumulating snow for most, more north obviously. It's definitely something to track. Yes, because of an Artic high and it does develop a secondary that would help with cold air.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Both GFS and CMC have a snow to wintry mix to possible rain along coast scenario for late next week. The further north you are the better you should do with this one the way it looks right now. Still a long way to go for any details. Lets see what 12z Euro shows.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    38 with NW winds 15G25. Had a gust to 40 with frontal passage and only picked up .30 inch of rain. Basically a non event up here.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    I wasn't and only reached 58 today and you are pretty desperate if you call one 60 degree day a torch. Good luck tomorrow as temps fall through the 30's with gusty NW winds.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes around 6-7am.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    51, light rain, S winds at 10mph. Boring.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Topped out at 58 today. 53 with light rain now.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Just for shits and giggles:
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    58 here.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Who's we? There is a big difference in climo between I84 and Long island and coastal Jersey. All globals showing a wintry possibility N and W.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    We never go through a winter without warmer periods. Things look to change late Feb into early March.
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