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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    I got 3.5 which ties the biggest amount so far this year so I didn't entirely miss out, although 45 minutes north got 7, and it took me 2 hours to clear driveway. It's white outside and has high moisture content so maybe it will stick around for awhile. 19 so far this season.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    CMC/Rgem were pretty good I thought. Other globals(GFS, UKIE, Euro) were too cold with too much snow and the nam was giving Albany 3 inches and had sleet up to vermont before it corrected. Im not saying they all have to be perfect especially in complicated setups but this winter they have been pretty terrible for the most part.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    There is just no go to model like the Euro used to be. They all suck.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    It could I guess. 45 minutes north of me got 7 so you could look at it both ways.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Measured 3.5 inches of mostly snow, some sleet. A little disappointing but whatever. 19 for the season. My daughter who lives near Albany said they got about 8.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    27/10 NW wind at 5
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, and NWS talking about 1-2 inch per hour rates overnight where it does snow.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, that was my point. It was OTL especially along and north of I90.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    You really want to play that game? Look at the forecast in your own backyard numbskull.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    You should be the one bringing up other people's posts. Pot meet kettle. I could write a novel of your posts that were embarrassingly incorrect. I wrote that because it showed stupid amounts north of 84, like 3 inches for Albany and 1 for Poughkeepsie. It has since corrected to a more reasonable output especially in the Capital District. It is still the warmest of the models and did the storm happen already? We will see what verifies.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    and isn't that exactly what happened at 00z vs 18z therefore it looked a little more like other guidance as far as snow vs sleet. I have seen the nam be too aggressive with the warming many times and it did correct somewhat at 00z.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    UKIE
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    The nam is also known to be too warm at times also. 00z was different, with the primary not being as strong and secondary further south and it was colder. The bottom line is the output was far different from other models, particulary up north, and if Albany gets 3 inches I'll eat my shorts in Macy's window.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Did you look at the 12z and 18z. It was a joke. 00z was a big correction and is still a warm outlier particularly north of 84. At 18z it gave my area 1.5 inches and Albany 3. Every other piece of guidance gives north of 84 up to I90 anywhere between 8 and 12. Should we ignore all the other guidance?
  17. HeadInTheClouds
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    The stronger precip intensity may delay the changeover also.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Not worried. It's still better than 18z.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    It's probably looking for the coordinates to Snowman's house.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam almost made it back to planet earth. It's still hovering though and deciding whether to land or not.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    No it didn't. Don't look at TT maps as they include sleet. Pivotal maps had it only giving me about 2 inches and then lots of sleet. It gave Newburgh practically no snow, lol.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    What model has actually shifted north besides the nam? GFS basically the same, and RGEM and Euro were colder.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    The nam definitely won't verify and I believe we get at least 6 before some sleet.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    So has every model quite frankly. We just don't have a go to model anymore. Precip starts in under 36 hours and still a lot of possible solutions on the table as far as the thermals are concerned.
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