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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    The stronger precip intensity may delay the changeover also.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Not worried. It's still better than 18z.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    It's probably looking for the coordinates to Snowman's house.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam almost made it back to planet earth. It's still hovering though and deciding whether to land or not.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    No it didn't. Don't look at TT maps as they include sleet. Pivotal maps had it only giving me about 2 inches and then lots of sleet. It gave Newburgh practically no snow, lol.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    What model has actually shifted north besides the nam? GFS basically the same, and RGEM and Euro were colder.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    The nam definitely won't verify and I believe we get at least 6 before some sleet.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    So has every model quite frankly. We just don't have a go to model anymore. Precip starts in under 36 hours and still a lot of possible solutions on the table as far as the thermals are concerned.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    So lets see. 18z Euro gives me 12, 18z RGEM 10, 18z GFS 10, plus other mesos who are a bit out of their range give me similar numbers but I'm supposed to believe that Nam actually has a clue with it's 1.5 IMBY and 3 up in Albany and takes the primary well north and develops the secondary over cape cod. Well, I don't.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    It's an absolute warm outlier and not even close to other guidance. It's not just about warm tongues. Nothing is even close.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Those snow numbers look about the same to me. Maybe a tad less but not by much.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    It’s still ridiculous with the northern extent of the sleet. I have no problem with the 5 boroughs being mostly sleet but it’s out to lunch further north.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    It’s wrong and not even close to any other guidance. Just the nam being the nam.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    It’s a huge warm outlier and anybody with a brain knows this.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes they do. Your snow is going to fall generally between 6z and 12z. I could see the 3-5 there. Isn’t NWS calling for 4-6?
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    It also has decent snows in lower Hudson valley in your backyard before the sleet.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    You’re fine at Albany. Nam is wrong.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    I saw that. It's still in it's longer range but did tick a little south.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Exactly. I see people talking about the hrrr at 48 hours. Good Lord.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam is off it's rocker. It gives Albany 4 inches. Yeah ok.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Drive right up the hudson. You won't have to go too far for some decent snows.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    No you don't.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Im only at 15.5 up here north of 84 but this one will help.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    CMC
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