Nothing can be ruled out from an inland runner to a miss but It's just so flat and the low so far south and weak IMO. I just think the Euro and CMC are much more plausible. I would be shocked if the GFS is correct.
It's fantasy land but we can pray to the weather Gods. I find it funny that yesterday people were lamenting how warm and wet the GFS looked mid-late month.
Yeah but it costs money to run it out to 16 days I would guess. Medium range to me is is 5-7 day time frame and I doubt there will even be a time where the 10 day period is anything but a low verification. 2 week time frames with op models will always be like throwing darts with your eyes closed. It serves no purpose.
The GFS is trash in mid term time frame and an absolute dumpster fire beyond that. It had rain up to Canada with next weekend system as late as 00z run last night and that was obviously not going to happen. I would take both the CMC and Euro over that crap model any day of the week in nearly any scenario.