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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    That model hasn't been that great either. It's usually too warm and too light on precip.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    I was speaking in general terms, not just this storm. I don't trust that model. Actually I don't trust any 1 model.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Some people think it's a good model but all I see is flip flopping run to run and questionable thermals.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    33 with some light snow. Picked up 2 inches for a total of 17.5 this season.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    34 with moderate snow, sticking to colder surfaces.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    38 and rain right now IMBY.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Still hate 10:1 maps in this setup. Do Pivotal 10:1 maps count sleet as snow?
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    Can't be using 10:1 ratio maps in a marginal thermal event.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    18z Vs 12z is considerably more in northern areas. .5 vs .3 by me.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    The CMC also shows a deepening coastal.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Both CMC and Euro are similar in terms of 2nd wave which is a coastal. GFS on it's own right now.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Wave 1 looks like a 1-2 inch type event for most and that's only because most precip falls at night. Wave 2 still a ways out but CMC looks similar to 00z Euro. Dicey at coast but interior would do well. GFS not impressed but will probably correct.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    Disappointing model runs tonight with respect to 2nd wave.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    That's not including all of the second wave. You have to go out further for northern areas. It still likely won't be accurate at 10:1.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    That is incorrect, especially north of the city. If that particular scenario were to verify most of the precip would fall at night when temps were close to 30(especially around 84) so it would accumulate.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    The models are struggling right now. Every model run is a different adventure. I don't think we start to see better consistency until mid week.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    That's a low bar.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    It's a terrible model all the time.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    33 with a light mix. Picked up 1.5 inches of snow/sleet cement mix overnight.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    33 and a major sleetfest
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Down to 33, moderate snow, sticking on colder surfaces.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    38 and snowing
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    I wouldn't count on it. When a cutter scenario shows up on both the GFS and Euro it's a red flag. I don't care if it's a week away.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Welp, next weekend went to shit pretty quick.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    That blocking means business. March could be epic North of I90 and central and Northern NE. I think areas south get some of the goods also including NYC metro.
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