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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    Me too. I think min is 6 and absolute max is 10.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Winter storm warning just issued for Dutchess county. 5 to 9 Saturday night and 3 to 5 on Sunday. I'm thinking the lower end around 8 in Poughkeepsie area.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    I don't trust the 3k or hrrr unless it's within 24 hours, maybe even 12.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    It's basically showing what most other models are showing in the area which is .8-1.0 total QPF. The Euro was the driest with .6-.8. It seems this system is lacking dynamics once the initial precip comes through and then some areas get dry slotted.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Most models have BL temps in mid 30's in NYC metro and Long Island. It's going to be difficult to get significant accums in those areas. Those 10:1 maps are bogus.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    They aren't perfect and tend to be on the warm side but I would take that combo over the Nam/GFS every time.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    I think a frond end thump is a pretty good bet especially along and north of 84. That high and blocking means business and the CAD is pretty strong. The CMC and GFS are recognizing this more than the Euro right now.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    It's been so meh after the "upgrade". It used to be the king not it's more like Euro trash IMO.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Not to spoil the fun but it's babka.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Regardless of the exact track I'm honestly surprised by the meh QPF on the 12z Euro. I would think it would be more than .75 or so given the source region and tapping some atlantic moisture. Pretty weak if you ask me.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Thanks for that info because we couldn't possibly see that.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, you would think it's been tropical from the talk. It's been an average December up here in MHV. Yesterday's high was 37 with snow showers. Last night went down to 22 and today's high was 35. After a mild weekend most of next week will be close to 40 for daytime highs. Not planting any palm trees here.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    36 and mostly snow here in Dutchess, coating on cars and grass.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    There are plenty of spots that have reported 7-8 inches so far and it's not over yet.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    55 with some light rain still. 3.10 in the bucket.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    And most models have shown for 2 days now that the most significant impacts will be from the remnant low on Sunday and Sunday night except for the GFS (until 12z) which you continued to hug.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    Are you going to post the 12z GFS?
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    Perfect late afternoon/evening in HV.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    That's a lot of rain especially with what has fallen in the past month. Dutchess county east of the taconic had some big amounts. Had 3.15 here in Hyde Park.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    I know, probably going to get worse unfortunately.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    I still can't believe how hard and for how long it has been raining in the Bear Mountain area around 9W. It's going to be a disaster in that area.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    You have to go up to I90 to be near average. I'm 20 miles north of 84 and have 26.5 this year which is still well below average.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Hit 54 today, snow melting quickly.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Every model basically sucked with this storm and the RGEM/CMC were no exception. Besides being bad for areas well north and west, some parts of Long Island had snow which I don't think they had correct either. They are consistently too warm and dry.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Every model was really bad this storm.
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