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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    The CMC has not shifted 150 miles east.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    You do the same. I said the RGem shifted east and the euro shifted west. The consensus seems to be a low inside the BM with more precip than either the euro op or nam have showed. The Euro and EPS had a significant shift west at 06z.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    The Canadian models have not been awful. They have just been slightly further west than where things look to be headed. The Euro has been east and weaker and has been correcting west and bumped up precip. Again, I don't know what you are looking at.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't know what models you are looking at but the Euro has been east and weaker and had a significant move west at 06z. The consensus seems to be a low inside the BM and south of LI. The Euro op has shown none of that. It was out there with the nam.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    How is that? GFS is inside BM and shows a significant storm for nearly everybody. Euro Op is weaker and farther east.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    The answer is somewhere in the middle.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    I'll take a combo of Icon/CMC/RGEM/GFS over Euro/Ukie/Nam
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    I doubt it. NWS wouldn't be putting up WSW N and W for 6-10 inches. Don't be fooled by the crappy nam.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    It could be a little too amped and a little too far west but it still has been on this for days where the Nam is in la-la land 48 hours before game time. The nam is garbage.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    My money is on the nam. It's a garbage model and doesn't have a clue on this one.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Not really.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    This low is flying. It's basically snows/rains for less than 12 hours but it's going to come down hard in some places.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    At 10:1. Ratios will be higher especially N and W.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    I don't think it's right either but it hasn't moved in several model runs, neither has the cmc. We will see I guess.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, but it's still a global as opposed to a meso and the rgem is pretty good unlike the nam.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    cmc showing the same thing basically
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    Every model has trended closer to coast with more precip and the RGEM/CMC has been consistent for days with it's track. Just because the Euro is farther east doesn't make it right.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    Seems like we are getting a consensus on wave 1. CMC/RGEM have been on this the whole time. GFS caving once again.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    So we are 4 days out. CMC gives me 10 inches and GFS gives me nothing. Sounds about right.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    It's been trash.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Every global shows some precip, moderate to significant, except for the GFS. Go figure.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    c-2 for most.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    It seems to me that most models have a wave in the Sunday night time frame that gives a mostly light accumulation, except for the GFS of course which doesn't surprise me.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    My sister lives in northern Virginia and they had about 7 inches from the last storm and the schools were closed for 4 days. LOL.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    I'm talking more about the general capitol district. Places like Latham, Colonie, Clifton Park, Saratoga are nice places to live.
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