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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    It's basically Euro/CMC/Ukie vs GFS/ICON. This map is including Saturday's few inches.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Away from the coast it does not go quickly from snow to rain, especially with a secondary developing.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    NWS Albany is expecting higher ratios north of 84 where I am. This makes sense with possibility of DGZ being tapped and lows in mid 20's. Most models give this area .6 or so QPF and NWS has Poughkeepsie area expected snowfall around 8 inches.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    That's 10:1. It should be higher than that N and W.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Same here. 22 with light snow but winding down. 7 OTG. Cold as hell with the wind.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    25 with moderate snow. 4.5 OTG.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    30 with moderate snow. A little under an inch so far.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    The AI for the most part yes. The Euro op absolutely not.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Now do the Euro. Let me know how many miles it shifted west.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Bull. Go look back a few days ago. It was much farther east, weaker, and giving most 2-3 inches. It made a westward shift and bumped precip the last 2 runs.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    I'm not ignoring anything. I already stated that an east shift caused the NYC metro and points east to get some snow instead of nothing because of a very tight gradient where even a small shift could have big implications. Other areas of the sub forum remained essentially the same.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    OMG. The canadian never showed 2 ft. It showed 11-12 inches 2 days ago and at 12z today it showed about 8. Don't make it seem so drastic. Every model corrects closer to events including your Euro.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    So the euro was showing 2 or 3 for me yesterday and the cmc about 8. My forecast is for 6-8.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    yea ok, it shifted east and still only gives east of NYC 1-3. My point is this isn't looking like a win for the Euro if you have been paying attention.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    The CMC has not shifted 150 miles east.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    You do the same. I said the RGem shifted east and the euro shifted west. The consensus seems to be a low inside the BM with more precip than either the euro op or nam have showed. The Euro and EPS had a significant shift west at 06z.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    The Canadian models have not been awful. They have just been slightly further west than where things look to be headed. The Euro has been east and weaker and has been correcting west and bumped up precip. Again, I don't know what you are looking at.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't know what models you are looking at but the Euro has been east and weaker and had a significant move west at 06z. The consensus seems to be a low inside the BM and south of LI. The Euro op has shown none of that. It was out there with the nam.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    How is that? GFS is inside BM and shows a significant storm for nearly everybody. Euro Op is weaker and farther east.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    The answer is somewhere in the middle.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    I'll take a combo of Icon/CMC/RGEM/GFS over Euro/Ukie/Nam
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    I doubt it. NWS wouldn't be putting up WSW N and W for 6-10 inches. Don't be fooled by the crappy nam.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    It could be a little too amped and a little too far west but it still has been on this for days where the Nam is in la-la land 48 hours before game time. The nam is garbage.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    My money is on the nam. It's a garbage model and doesn't have a clue on this one.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Not really.
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