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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. They aren't done yet. NWS Albany talking about a pivoting band and Mohawk Convergence which may add to totals later today and this evening.
  2. 35 and just some light rain now. Finished with just under 9 inches. 26.5 for the season.
  3. Yes, this is true. I have family there and I know topography plays a role in Capitol District snowfall as it does in MHV. I did see a number of reports of reports of a foot or more.
  4. I think you basically had to be I90 on north to have close to an average winter. I'm 20 miles north of I84 and this storm should get me to over 25 for the season but still well below normal.
  5. Even with only a foot it's still close enough compared to pathetic lack of snow other areas have had.
  6. Albany area getting crushed. They will be at average snowfall after this storm.
  7. The truth was always going to be in the middle. Heavy snow now.
  8. 32 with moderate snow, eyeballing 7-8 inches OTG. Power outages all over the place.
  9. 32 with moderate/heavy snow, about 2 inches.
  10. Yea, I would say it's way overdone. 1 ft is possible but 2, nah.
  11. Latest Hrrr is giving all of Dutchess county over a foot and GFS just went nuclear. Radar looks good also. I think we will do well.
  12. Just about on schedule. Most models had it changing over about 3z.
  13. 35 with mostly rain and a few flakes mixed in.
  14. This storm must be a nightmare for NWS offices. Albany still hasn't updated it's 5am storm briefing but they are generally the latest to do these updates.
  15. 18z 12K Nam gives me 20, 3k 12, and HRRR 16. Waiting for the RGEM to give me 3 or 4 to balance it out.
  16. Bust potential is huge on this storm both ways. Just IMBY 12z suite has me anywhere between 3 and 18, lol. Nothing like a tight consensus 12 hours before game time. 17z hrrr has me getting 13 inches by 11z. I'm still thinking 8-10 total.
  17. I guess they are not just looking at CMC/RGEM.
  18. CMC is even worse, lol but that was to be expected. We will know pretty soon but I'm not buying it.
  19. It doesn't mean it is right. I think it's light on the precip and it's the only model that shows less than 6 inches up here. It shows a pathetic QPF output in the hours after rain changes to snow when every other model shows heavy precip. Every other model also shows anywhere between 9 and 18 at 10:1. Why should I believe the RGEM?
  20. 00z suite is for the most part showing a max snowfall area around I90 and very little near NYC metro. What happens in between is still TBD. I'm thinking 6-12 around I84, with the lower amounts in the valleys.
  21. I guess people may come off the ledge since the Ukie flip flopped again but for the better.
  22. It depends on where you are and the dynamics at play. NWS Albany talking 8-10:1 in their zone.
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