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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    33 and light rain now.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    32 and light snow just started.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Hanging tough at 32 and overcast.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    28 and cloudy. It's going to be interesting to see what happens here. I'm right on the Hudson in central Dutchess county about 10 miles north of Poughkeepsie and could get anywhere from near nothing to 6 inches or more if thermals are cold enough.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup. CMC/RGEM have been very consistent with downsloping/shadowing. American models not so much. It's a huge difference with only 24 hours before game time.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    Big difference between GFS and CMC especially in HV.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    00Z RGEM - a lot less and nearly nothing east of Hudson and it has been consistent with this.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    I think a lot will be determined by precip intensity at lower elevations. If it's heavy it could snow and when it is moderate or light it will rain. I still think Nam numbers are overdone at lower elevations. It will be interesting to see how things turn out.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Dacks just got named
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    18z GFS won't back down with colder solution and higher snow amounts.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Winter Storm Watch up in Orange county, obviously higher amounts expected in NW section and higher elevations.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Yeah, NWS Albany was talking about downsloping and shadowing in the valleys. I'll be happy with 2 inches before changeover.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    12z Euro at 10:1. Kuchera map is not available on free Pivotal Weather so cut these amounts in half for our area.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS is on it's own little island of misfit toys. It is still colder and hasn't backed down on totals at 12z but I'm not buying it. I think we see no more than an inch or 2.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    It's going to be very difficult to accumulate east of Hudson in the valley. I'm surprised Poughkeepsie is even that much.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS says I'll see you and raise you 48 hours before start time.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    It's actually worse east of the Hudson.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    It does, plus clear skies and calm wind. Got down to 10 last night and right now 19.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    18z GFS still a colder solution.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    It is colder which would have an impact on NW Jersey. I'm all for colder solutions.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    18z Nam slightly warmer but still shows decent front end dump over interior but you need to be 50 miles N and W.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam is a tad warmer but does have a front end dump N and W.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    It didn't look that different to me and it gives snow to places N and W.
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