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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah and we know how good the GFS has been. -
Obs and nowcast Sunday 12/20/20 daylight snowfall
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
31 and cloudy. Had some holiday mood flakes earlier. Hope Santa puts the convertible top on the sled for the Christmas eve rainstorm. -
Agreed. A lot of it has to do with just not hearing music from 60's/70's/80's. If you are just fed today's "music" that's basically all you know. I have seen that younger people who have listened to music from the past actually appreciate it. I find it funny how many kids really like "immigrant song" from Zeppelin because of Thor and "wayward son" from Kansas because of Supernatural. The latest "dreams" video on tiktok that went viral is another example. There is hope.
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God Damnit. Posts really get deleted easily here. Geez.
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Ya mean that Post Malone, the Weeknd, and Dababy arent as talented and influential as the Beatles, Led Zeppelin, Pink Floyd or Queen? Go figure.
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Dude you are entitled to your opinion but I stand by my comment. The amazing talent of the bands and artists that I and others mentioned is far superior than the auto-tune garbage of many "artists" of today.
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Your kids are smart. I grew up with The Beatles, Led Zeppelin, Pink Floyd, The Stones, the Who, Peter Frampton, Van Halen, etc... Todays music just doesn't compare.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
23 and sunny after a low of 1 below last night. -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Cmon man give the GFS some love, lol. It was only off by 40 inches in Binghamton and 2 ft in Albany. Such a POS model.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
21 with some light snow. Picked up about 16. Jackpot was Binghamton to Albany.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
20 with heavy snow continuing. Picked up about 7 last 4 hours. Radar continues to fill in south of me.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
20 and heavy snow, 3 inches OTG- 1,011 replies
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I still think it will mix as precip shuts off after intitial burst, then back to some snow later on as low heads east. I don't think anybody in NYC metro sees above 10 inches except maybe Northern Manhattan/Bronx/Yonkers.
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I especially wouldn't trust crappy GFS with thermal profiles. I think maybe 3k nam would be best to look at thermals. There will definitely be mixing and/or dry slot NYC metro.
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I'm assuming it's similar to it's last few runs where it gives big snows up north to Albany and is warm on the coast just by seeing how tucked the low is.
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If you really think it has done a good job with the evolution of this storm to this point then I don't know what to tell ya.
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Huh? it's just a bad model and it performed miserably. Euro, CMC, Ukie, all outperformed it. Even Nam and RGEM who were out of their useful range had a better handle on things before GFS.
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Yeah ok. Every model picked up on what was happening with the storm for the most part well before the GFS. It caved after 5 days of embarrassing itself.
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For 5 days it had the low 100 miles south of all other guidance and it's northern precip field was a joke. It's been a train wreck with this storm until it finally caved earlier today.
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Look at its run 24 hours ago and 00z tonight. Night and day. Plus for 5 days it got snow barely past NYC metro.
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You're kidding right? It's been atrocious. 24 hours ago it was giving me 3 inches. It caved to other guidance today and is now on planet earth with the rest of the models. Latest output is now 19 for me.
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Not impossible but not likely. I think we get 12-15. Ratios will be 13 or 14:1 also.
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It already did. it went from the 2 inches it was giving me for 5 days to 18, lol
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