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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    Not the GFS. I would still go with a CMC/Euro blend for now.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    He meant GooFuS
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    How is that so? Did you see Nam and RGEM? Not saying that they are right but what converging?
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    I was wrong, we got 4.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    00z Scorecard IMBY Nam - 21 RGEM - 22 GFS - awaiting my 3 inches
  6. HeadInTheClouds
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    3k only goes out to 60.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    A tad deeper and a tad closer to coast as it comes north. There will be big numbers again.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    We'll be fine. The Euro map still gives us about 10-11 with ratios. NWS Albany was talking about 14:1 in their discussion.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    CP would have a cow.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Looking at GFS 18z ensembles it seems like they are considerably wetter than op especially north.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    and 48/3 is 16 so I'm good.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    18z scorecard IMBY NAM 26 RGEM 19 GFS 3 Can't make this sh!t up.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    I think the cutoff on the latest Nam is Canada.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    Agreed. I wouldn't argue with an 8-12 forecast for our area. nam gave us 26 and gfs will give us 2. Split the difference, lol. American models suck.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    I'll take the 26 inches it gives Poughkeepsie, lol, but I agree with you about that cutoff in SE PA. Funky run to say the least.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    It's not just a model run, it's every model run aside from the GFS. I'm not cherry picking one run of one model. We will see how it plays out.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    I hear ya on that. I was on the fringe with Jonas expecting 1-3 inches and saw 1-3 flakes.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    My point, 84 Is not on the fringe with a foot forecast, I90 is on the fringe.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    Its not that short of a distance though. Just looking at Euro It gives Poughkeepsie 1 foot and decreases precip to a few inches around I90. Thats 80-90 miles. It has 6+ well north of 84. Thats just one model but most others have similar numbers.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    i didn't say he wasn't entitled to his opinion.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Sure. I think the sweet spot will be Eastern Penn-Northern Jersey-Rockland/Westchester on east. 10-12 inch totals well north of there though according to most guidance. I don't consider that a cutoff.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    I disagree with his point though. There is going to be significant snow north of westchester county.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Really? You might want to inform the models, most of them are giving significant totals 50 miles north of that line you drew.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes and looking at Euro I84 gets around a foot and decreases to 2 inches around I90.
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