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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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I don't think so. Most real models give I84 vicinity around a foot or more. I think the sharp cutoff is going to be around I90.
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Yeah me too. I think it's going to make it to ACY, maybe a tad farther north, and then east.
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It was further north and west. It will still correct further and precip shield will be farther north. FWIW it now gives me 5 instead of 1.
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GFS was farther N and W, It's still playing catch up.
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33 with light/moderate snow, coating on colder surfaces.
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It may not be right but how is it surpressed with northern precip? It gives 1 inch LE up to Albany.
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Yes you can up to a certain laltitude. Are you going to discount all the models besides GFS? The low is going to move north and then ene or east. Most models have it getting north of AC and then east which seems reasonable. The GFS is moving the low east 100 miles farther south and the northward precip field is pathetic. I will get more than the 1 inch it shows for me just by WAA alone. It will eventually adjust. Its the one model I wouldn't put my money on.
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Just because it's consistent doesn't make it right. So has the Euro, CMC and their ensembles.
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Euro a crush job for many including interior. GFS sucks. GN.
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Right near Albany gets 2 ft again and Long Island gets skunked, lol. This is just not happening. This is just as non sensical as the GFS, just the opposite. My money is on Euro/CMC blend.
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Not really. Hopefully the snow map will be posted. 12z gave Albany 2 ft and parts of Long Island nothing. I don't think thats happening.
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Throw out GFS and Ukie. Both are on crack.
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Yeah that looks like another interior crush job.
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Post it if you can. The 12z gave Albany 26 inches so I have a hard time believing it looks like GFS.
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It depends on which model you are looking at but right now I would say mid afternoon in NYC.
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Updated 00z scorecard IMBY: Nam 24 RGEM 15 ICON 13 CMC 18 GFS 1
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Don't worry, its way off. It has absolutely no support and the chances of other models caving to gfs are low. The opposite will likely happen.
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I was wrong about the GFS I must admit. I predicted it would give me 2 but it gave me 1.
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Yes you can. Euro, CMC have been consistent too
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00z Score card for mid HV : Nam 24 RGEM 16 ICON 13 GFS 1
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Crusher for interior. Gives me 24. GFS up next to give me 2.
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It has zero support from other models. It has a south and east bias. The low is too far south IMO before it juts east and the northern precip shield isn't representative of how I think it will verify and has been depicted by every other model. I am using a blend of the Euro/cmc. Im not buying the ukie or gfs.
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