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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. GFS is on it's own little island of misfit toys. It is still colder and hasn't backed down on totals at 12z but I'm not buying it. I think we see no more than an inch or 2.
  2. It's going to be very difficult to accumulate east of Hudson in the valley. I'm surprised Poughkeepsie is even that much.
  3. GFS says I'll see you and raise you 48 hours before start time.
  4. It does, plus clear skies and calm wind. Got down to 10 last night and right now 19.
  5. It is colder which would have an impact on NW Jersey. I'm all for colder solutions.
  6. 18z Nam slightly warmer but still shows decent front end dump over interior but you need to be 50 miles N and W.
  7. It didn't look that different to me and it gives snow to places N and W.
  8. That same map using kuchera is considerably less which makes sense.
  9. The Euro is warm but I still think parts of the interior see a front end dump of snow that most other models show. There is a definite CAD signature to support frozen at the onset. How long and how much is still in question. The coast is basically toast on this one but still hope for others.
  10. Euro brings in colder air as low moves east and gets some snow to the coast eventually. Still long way to go with this.
  11. Expected NYS totals tomorrow and tomorrow night.
  12. Yup. I'm looking at 2-4 in MHV. Poconos and Catskills could get 6 with this.
  13. Yeah no kidding. Euro, CMC, and even ICON had a secondary developing and affecting the area with rain/snow days ago. GFS had a weak low headed to Bermuda.
  14. Yes it is. Most models correct as we get closer in time to an event. The GooFuS is always late to the party and frequently on it's own little Island. All other major models were showing a coastal low days before the GFS. This model has major issues.
  15. GFS decided to come back to planet earth at 12z. Horrible model. There is still plenty of time with this and hopefully we some eastern progression with the developing low instead of a rainstorm for most.
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