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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    And that makes perfect sense. UKIE OTL on its latest run.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Please lock that run in weather Gods. Thank you.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    There is no way Albany is getting 2 ft. Just not going to happen.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    Right now you can throw out the Ukie and GFS IMO. Right now I'm taking a blend of Euro/CMC and nam when in range.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup. No way Albany is getting 2 ft either. Not going to happen. I still think NYC metro sees close to a ft.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes with that latest UKIE run I agree.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, I was talking about those models being further north and west with a bigger precip shield vs the GFS.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    Its the CMC/Euro/Ukie/Icon even Nam vs the outlier GFS.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Thats a really big question right now.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Ukie had big numbers N and W also, CMC also to an extent.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    There was some decent run to run consistency for awhile. Now all hell has broken loose.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Wow. You get crushed in Orange county on that run.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    There are going to be some big numbers on the Euro.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Thats not the UK, its the 12z Euro. Anthony posted UK on previous page.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    According to the models I can expect anywhere between 4 and 18.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    I don't think it will either but I'm still scarred by Jonas. I saw 3 flakes.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    We will see. I don't deny the blocking. I have always been concerned about it being north of 84. I just don't think it will be due north and then due east with out some northerly component.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    I think the handling of the low by the GFS is a little fugazy. It basically goes straight north from hours 96 to 102 and then takes a right turn when it feels the blocking and goes due east. I just don't think that will happen. I think it will be more ene.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup. They are in a very good position with this one.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    18z GEFS east of op.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Meanwhile the 12z operational Euro was the opposite. In HV the qpf was much lower than 00z so who knows.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Hopefully not and I don't think so but the possibility of a further south and east trend where NYC metro gets the goods and we get much less is very real
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Poughkeepsie area just went from 18 on 00z to 6 this run. Concerning for northern folks.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    I was thinking I need to buy a snowblower.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Im sure. Most models have low sliding east at 17/12z also. I'm sure thats the evolution of this as well.
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