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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    What are you even talking about? My forecast for the next 7 days is about 5.5 degrees above normal. For me to finish above normal for the month the last 9 days of the year have to +7 AN and it looks like the 30th-31st could be BN.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Me too. 36 here. Feels like a heatwave.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, I'm taking that into consideration. If the next 10 days average +6 we get to normal.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    +10 ? I doubt it. My highs the next week are forecast to be 41,47,42, 40, 38,39,43 and the average high is 38. That's AN but not +10. This after 5 consecutive days of temps below freezing. So far this month Poughkeepsie area is averaging 3 degrees BN. My best guess is by the end of the month we are normal or slightly below.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    With all due respect to isotherm who is awesome, not really. He had december 2-3.5 degrees above normal and below normal to way below normal snowfall. I have had a significantly below normal december so far(today is 5 consecutive days of temps below freezing) and I have 13 inches of snow this month with some sort of snow cover for most of this month. Albany area has double that.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    You should cut back on the rum in your egg nog.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Unfortunately I remember that like it was yesterday. Dusting is being generous, I had 3 flakes. I had 6 inches all winter. Brutal.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    30 and Freezing rain here. It snowed for about 2 hours after midnight and I picked up a whole .50 inch which is a bummer, 13 inches for the season so far.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't give up yet. It hasn't even started by us. I think we pick up 2-3 quick inches between 1 and 6 am before changeover to sleet. At least I hope we do.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    If you were on the roads you would definitely remember. They were a disaster across the metro area. The snow came down hard and caused chaos and many roads were untreated. Many people were stranded for hours.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    You are northern Rockland so you may see more snow/sleet than ZR but even by you .10-.25 is not unreasonable given what meso models are saying. It's southern parts of the county that could get more significant icing.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Suffern and New City
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    I had to let some family members who live in Rockland county know that they may have a significant icing event tomorrow which they were unaware of. The NWS is only calling for about .10 inch of ZR. WTF?
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    At least they didn't throw an inch of salt down.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    And how good have any of the other models been? The Euro has verified pretty well IMBY the last 2 events. 24-48 hrs prior It had me getting a total of 11 inches in early Dec and that is what I got. It had me getting 2 inches from the frontal wave and I received 1.5. With this system models have been all over the place quite frankly.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Can anybody post 12z Euro? Interested in what it has for snow/sleet/zr north and west being that it was further south. FWIW weather channel forecast upgraded me to 3-5 inches on Tuesday.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    What the hell is the Nam doing?
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    You are right on time making generalizations downplaying the event. This could be a real issue N and W with ZR on top of the 2-4 inches of snow/sleet on the front end. The Euro has been consistent with this for 3 days now.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Here we go again. The GFS is the only model that shows a cutter and even that scenario would still cause an extended period of frozen precip north and west of NYC before changeover to rain. Every other model shows a colder solution right now.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    Stop preaching. Those snow depth maps can be very inaccurate also. During last storm you posted those maps that showed Albany area getting ridiculously low amounts of additional snow. In reality they got a foot more than those maps were showing. You also said there was no way the setup for that storm was going to produce wintry precip. I wound up with 11 inches from your forecast rain storm. You need to be more specific on which area you are talking about or just STFU.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    CMC gives me over a foot, lol. What did Ukie show?
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Its still 4-5 days out and thermal profiles are tricky but it's looking like you have to be 50 miles or more N and W of NYC to have a chance of any accumulating snow.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't worry about the rain that may fall in the beginning. It will quickly change to snow as column cools.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    A lot of what falls is going to be sleet. That is very different from ZR.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    What is your definition of an ice storm? I'm 10 miles north of Poughkeepsie up route 9 and I am not expecting an ice storm. NWS Albany has us for 6-10 inches total of sleet and snow and about .10 of ice. I could see where I get 6 inches of snow from say 7pm to 2-3am and then quite a bit of sleet and then some freezing rain but I believe that that ice aspect will only be max maybe .20 inch which is not an all out ice storm like you describe.
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