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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    What are you even talking about? My forecast for the next 7 days is about 5.5 degrees above normal. For me to finish above normal for the month the last 9 days of the year have to +7 AN and it looks like the 30th-31st could be BN.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Me too. 36 here. Feels like a heatwave.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes, I'm taking that into consideration. If the next 10 days average +6 we get to normal.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    +10 ? I doubt it. My highs the next week are forecast to be 41,47,42, 40, 38,39,43 and the average high is 38. That's AN but not +10. This after 5 consecutive days of temps below freezing. So far this month Poughkeepsie area is averaging 3 degrees BN. My best guess is by the end of the month we are normal or slightly below.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    With all due respect to isotherm who is awesome, not really. He had december 2-3.5 degrees above normal and below normal to way below normal snowfall. I have had a significantly below normal december so far(today is 5 consecutive days of temps below freezing) and I have 13 inches of snow this month with some sort of snow cover for most of this month. Albany area has double that.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    You should cut back on the rum in your egg nog.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Unfortunately I remember that like it was yesterday. Dusting is being generous, I had 3 flakes. I had 6 inches all winter. Brutal.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    30 and Freezing rain here. It snowed for about 2 hours after midnight and I picked up a whole .50 inch which is a bummer, 13 inches for the season so far.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't give up yet. It hasn't even started by us. I think we pick up 2-3 quick inches between 1 and 6 am before changeover to sleet. At least I hope we do.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Here we go again. The GFS is the only model that shows a cutter and even that scenario would still cause an extended period of frozen precip north and west of NYC before changeover to rain. Every other model shows a colder solution right now.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    Stop preaching. Those snow depth maps can be very inaccurate also. During last storm you posted those maps that showed Albany area getting ridiculously low amounts of additional snow. In reality they got a foot more than those maps were showing. You also said there was no way the setup for that storm was going to produce wintry precip. I wound up with 11 inches from your forecast rain storm. You need to be more specific on which area you are talking about or just STFU.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    CMC gives me over a foot, lol. What did Ukie show?
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    Its still 4-5 days out and thermal profiles are tricky but it's looking like you have to be 50 miles or more N and W of NYC to have a chance of any accumulating snow.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Don't worry about the rain that may fall in the beginning. It will quickly change to snow as column cools.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    A lot of what falls is going to be sleet. That is very different from ZR.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    What is your definition of an ice storm? I'm 10 miles north of Poughkeepsie up route 9 and I am not expecting an ice storm. NWS Albany has us for 6-10 inches total of sleet and snow and about .10 of ice. I could see where I get 6 inches of snow from say 7pm to 2-3am and then quite a bit of sleet and then some freezing rain but I believe that that ice aspect will only be max maybe .20 inch which is not an all out ice storm like you describe.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    Even though Euro ticked north it still shows a good front end thump for HV, especially north of 84. Hour 66 shows .50 inch precip and about -5 850.
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