kvegas-wx

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Everything posted by kvegas-wx

  1. I was up on top of Pilot yesterday and across the VA line at my farm and both places have massive piles of brown leaves on the deck already. Even my 40' tall tulip poplar here in the triad is 90% bare. No color at all. So I agree that anywhere outside the mountains is likely to miss out on the color, but not the crunch. Wear those dustmasks sucking up those leaves!
  2. I'll take 70s and 50s year round with the occasional 4" snow mixed in. Fine by me.
  3. The lightning show around Winston and GSO last night was truly impressive. My room looked like there was a strobe light in it. Just missed on the bigger rain to the south. But at least it was wet this morning.
  4. I dont see how it cannot cool down. Shorter days quickly limiting heating, sun angle getting lower to reduce efficiency of heating, and there's going to be 4 feet of snow on the ground along the Canadian border! Look at the bright side, if this keeps up we may be on the firing line for some epic winter storm tracks!
  5. Imma be honest...i know the thermo says 90s, but it really doesnt feel that hot. Its very tolerable. Low humidity and sun angle makes a big difference. It felt as hot to me today as it did on the mountain in Aspen last week at 9000 ft. Sunny and 70 felt like 90 and I was sweating like crazy.
  6. I understand the thinking but disagree with the word "large". The runoff and flooding would be devastating. What would be better is a 2-3 back to back small tropical waves that dump a couple inches each over weeks, not days. My yard here in the triad is concrete. You throw 4-8" of rain on top of that and everything runs off. We need slow and steady.
  7. That looks like a brownout to me. A quick yellowing, then death. No way these trees stand a chance of much color this year. My yard is already full of dead leaves here in the Triad.
  8. Just saw that myself regarding the cool down potential for the first week in Oct. But cooling is only half the battle. If we lose our growing season for lawn and garden, I pray we don't have a wet winter because everything I own will be mud by February. Need....rain...now.
  9. Was this predicted in any models 60-90 days ago in long range outlooks?
  10. It is 32° this morning, with FROST, in Aspen CO and fortunately I am here to witness it. What a glorious morning!
  11. I needed a break in the action and fortunately had to travel to Aspen CO this weekend. The weather is stunning!! 60s and 30s, beautiful days. And we had snow flurries from a passing cloud yesterday at 12,000 feet going over Independence Pass. I'll do whatever dance, ritual or sacrifice to the memory of John Denver that I need to do to bring this weather home with me to the Southeast.
  12. What is stunning to me about the charts above is that we ended up with 2018 being a near record Sept for heat....while we were having record annual rainfall amounts during a fall when we couldnt find a dry weekend anywhere and begging for it to stop raining. That to me is even more impressive than this year.
  13. Until Jerry or one of his Caribbean cousins shows up and wrecks the party with 100% humidity and 85° temps well into Oct. We are not going to get off the hook easy this year.
  14. Look to the upper midwest at 6-7 days out and see if its really there. Then all we need to worry about is breaking down the ridge. I fear we are already seeing some familiar battle lines drawn.
  15. And that may be the only moisture your lawn sees as well unless the tropics come through for us. I didnt get a drop from Dorian in the Triad.
  16. If we lock in the SER again and sweat through October I think at least 70% of this board will need some sort of mental therapy. The long range models are just not good at predicting pattern changes.....ever. #trustbroken
  17. There are benefits.....it is much easier to kill my lawn for reseeding when it is bone dry. And I was able to open up a mile or so of atv trails yesterday on the tractor without sliding around in mud. Beyond that, this is miserable! I just hate to rely on a tropical system to break the pattern because we all know how bad the inland flooding can be across the hill country.
  18. I know there are plenty of folks suffering, but for what its worth, the "good" parts of this storm are being felt well inland in the Triad. Partly sunny with an awesome steady breeze. This is roughly the same weather we get here every time a storm runs up the coast. Just a beautiful early fall day. 81° and the breeze negates any humidity.
  19. What a joke. Next month Wake County Schools close for a breezy fall day! So ridiculous. I can certainly agree when winds are forecast to gust over 50mph for an extended period. But keep in mind folks, there are areas all over this great nation where that's a perfectly normal day!
  20. Durham, Raleigh, Chapel Hill. Roughly 20 mile sides I suppose.
  21. The nighttime lows are starting to crash into the lower 60s here in the Triad but we still have a couple of weeks to get past the tropical influence and reset the fall progression. Looks like we will be running 5-7° high for the next 10 days or so. I swear if we get a SER that locks in I'll go postal. I cant deal with that again this year.
  22. You might be surprised. They may port call and take you to Coco Cay and just not let you tour Nassau. I bet they clean up Coco Cay real damn quick. Two weeks is plenty of time to bring in dozens of private cleaning crews.
  23. Nope, lets get it right. EVERYONE hates (non red-tag) NYC/NJ tropical posters. (love you guys in the winter though, kind of funny to watch the freakouts) Evidently people in the Bahamas have nothing on "Sandy Survivors". Give it up people. Sandy, by comparison, was a little coastal flooding combined with a few EF-1 tornadoes for localized heavy damage. Most of an island was just wiped off the map by Dorian. No equals here.
  24. So is one to impart that if the mid level ridge #2 in Papins discussion slides over the top of Dorian in the next 36 hours then he is blocked and will resume a westerly course into FL/GA? Edit - NM, just saw his part two. Second ridge is expected to receed thus opening the path NNW up the coast. Makes sense.