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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. Ida looks like she is struggling a bit this afternoon with Cuba and SW shear. Cloud tops have warmed and the presentation is more ragged.
  2. Yeah we will have to see if that will occur or if it event slips east of NOLA like Katrina did and slams Bay St. Louis.
  3. Someone please make that a gif
  4. I honestly wish there was a more accurate wind field depiction for over land. NHC shows the TS winds onshore in southeastern New England but no ob on land supports anything close to sustained TS winds.
  5. Landfall should be somewhere in southwestern RI. This means not much of a wind event for central/western LI and NYC. Some low end TS winds in gusts for the most part, especially east. This is a rain event for the NYC Metro mainly.
  6. The Delmarva feature is definitely aiding that outflow on the NW side as well:
  7. Time to get a pistol and a case of sterno.
  8. I was wondering the same earlier when hints of an eye were trying to show up.
  9. NW side has improving outflow and definitely looks like a decent sized eye trying to pop on the vis: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=vis
  10. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=08L&product=vis You can see a decent sized eye trying to clear just a bit on the vis. Outflow is improving on the NW side as well.
  11. At this point northern NJ, NYC, western LI would see a rainy/breezy day. The real action would perhaps be along and east of the William Floyd Parkway in terms of wind.
  12. If you are looking for wind you have to be along and right of the center of course. As the system becomes extratropical, the wind field will expand even as the max sustained winds decrease.
  13. I am not sure this one is going to be chase worthy but good luck.
  14. I am not too impressed in Raleigh. Crabtree is rising but nowhere close to flood.
  15. It has been very unimpressive as of now. Not super high rain rates either. Calling this a TS is very generous.
  16. There is no way this is a hurricane still.
  17. LOL yeah I remember Don fizzled in like two advisories in South Texas years ago.
  18. Agreed. Not sure if it will get Crabtree going but we shall see.
  19. The latest runs are bringing it back in our direction but yeah we shall see.
  20. The east side of the storm, which is what you will be in.
  21. If you are chasing try one of these two cells:
  22. That had a nice hook as it came off the lake!
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