
eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Anyone know how it is looking around Pilot Mountain/Hanging Rock? Looks like Roxboro might be a bust for drone shots given the QPF issues.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I haven't been outside but I can't see a noticeable glaze here. We did have some sleet at the onset for sure. I plan on headed to Roxboro a little later to see what it looks like there.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
40s still in Raleigh lol.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I said earlier we saw this more than once this winter where the models get aggressive as we close in on an event only to pull back at the last second. It got RAH a couple of times. I wonder if we are seeing it again now.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Either way I plan on getting shots around Roxboro tomorrow and I agree in thinking no matter what I think there will be a significant ice event there through the Triad and portions of western NC. Obviously southern VA as well. Max ice amounts of 0.4-0.6 seem reasonable for now. Raleigh picks up 0.1 and perhaps 0.2 to the northwest on 540.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
We have seen it before this winter with the models getting aggressive only to pull back a bit northwest at the last minute. RAH busted on a few winter storm warnings this year because of that.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Usually as ou approach .25 or greater.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Looks like I will be headed toward the Triad for drone shots.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
eyewall replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
I just don't see how that much ice accrual occurs with temps in the 30-32 range. You really need 28-29 with a sustained cold air feed keeping it there for the well over 0.25 amounts.- 970 replies
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Temps still don't look great on the NAM
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Pretty much this. NAM only gets those areas down to 30-32 which isn't good enough for a high end event. Raleigh may touch 32 briefly but mainly 33-36. wash, rinse, repeat.
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Most definitely the worst stretch of being so close yet so far away I have ever experienced here with days of cold rain rubbing in the salt. I hate having to wait all the way until next winter for another shot.
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Yep we can thank the mountains for that.
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Honestly I would take a torch at this point since we are not getting any snow.
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The NAM is better at depicting the BL but don't rely on it for QPF when looking at the next ice potential.
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Thank you! Wish I got there a bit sooner.
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Some drone shots I grabbed in Henderson NC after work before it got dark. It was already beginning to melt by this time:
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I will post some shots from Henderson tomorrow (Sunday). They are via drone and from the ground. Quite a bit of tree damage there near thr quarry area. Ice accrual was probably around 0.3 inches or so and it had already been melting by the time I got there.
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I am referring to the extended stretch of 30's and rain.
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I am 44 and this is definitely among the worst I have seen.
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Anyone know how it looks in Henderson? I am wondering if their 30F ob is actually right.
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Yeah our region is pretty much going to be the only one without anything more than a minor hit this year.
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Yeah it just sucks hands down. The worst is the long wait until next winter. I can't stand the heat of July and August. The only upside is maybe a a few severe chases.- Yeah we can get something in March, but unless it is a nocturnal event it has a hard time against the sun angle.
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Thanks. I was going to try and get some aerials of icy trees. I know tomorrow will be more so but I will have to hope for a break from work to do that.