Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    22,278

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Time sensitive! Pull up TIAD radar and look at lowest base velocity scan. Sick downburst over western Montgomery/Southern Frederick Counties!
  2. Eskimo Joe
    These storms are definitely struggling to maintain themselves once they roll off the terrain. That cap must not be fully eroded.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like that lead warned cell is generating a bit of a cold pool? More stuff firing along and behind it. HRRR alluded to this earlier today.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Cell approaching Harper's Ferry, WV just got warned. Solid hail core developing and tops shooting up. Might have broken through the cap.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 03:00 UTC
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Some insane DCAPE and LL Lapse rates. If anything can punch through this cap, it's going to take off.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    I'll go on the record and say that if we didn't have clouds today, DCA and even IAD would probably have hit 100 degrees.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Or clouds. Or both.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Clouds and wind. Heck of a way to run a heat wave.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Big heat doesn't go quietly into the night.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    The year without a summer in DC and Baltimore.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Welcome to convection season. Without a regionwide trigger, it's few who feast while many suffer through famine.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwxdefinitely can see a westward moving outflow boundary from the first round of convection. Hopefully this can act as a mechanism for more storms later but I'm really pessimistic about it.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Don't think today is our day W of I-95.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    I truly hope this cooler summer is a sign that we are going to experience some sustained blocking this winter. It would be pretty terrible, but on brand, to see us flip to some raging +NAO and hostile PNA/QBO state this winter.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Bring it
  17. Eskimo Joe
    M1.3" Reisterstown in under an hour. Too much to fast.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the best instability will be from NE suburbs of DC into Baltimore and PA. New severe thunderstorm watch for PA until 5:00 am Fri, 7/21.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Mid level lapse rates appear to have strengthened and as @Stormchaserchuck1 just mentioned, Lift Index is rather robust.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwx I lost the OU CIMMS placefile for GR. Can you post it in here please?
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. This event is climatologically abnormal, and we don't have the rocket fuel to really goose the storms up. Still, we have some decent mid level instability, a belt of shear, and some really solid DCAPE.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Wind probabilities are pretty high on that watch box and there's a decent number of LSRs coming out in MI, PA, and OH.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Some of the CAMs blow through a dying MCS after midnight tonight. We have a decent pool of mid level lapse rates ahead of this line per SPC mesoanalysis (maybe a bit of an EML?) and a lot of DCAPE. Might be an interesting night. At least we stand to get some rain.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR develops a nice MCS with a respectable cold pool and blows it through the region late tonight. Would at lesat be a nice bit of rain.
×
×
  • Create New...