Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    21,980

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    @WxUSAF penny for your thoughts for tomorrow.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    NBC4 talking about this maybe being a bust for DC metro.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Here is your storm of the day! Wow.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Downsloping and lack of strong midday sun killed us. We need an EML to overcome the terrain issues here. That was reinforced with the 2021 Derecho.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I really do hate it when I'm right. The mid level cloud deck screwed us today. If we had stayed clear, I would've been eating crow.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yuck. Weak lapse rates.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Am mobile. Anyone got the 18z IAD raob?
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Updated LWX AFD
  9. Eskimo Joe
    If you have radar scope, you can get longer range base reflectivity from the terminal radars. Should be 'Long Range Reflectivity', second option from the top when selecting what mode you're viewing.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Watch coming out until 9pm it seems.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Right on cue for maximum daytime heating...clouds.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Per the LWX AFD, looks like the MCS in Tennessee has killed off any chance of an EML: Latest SPC meso analysis seems to confirm this.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    I'm pleasantly surprised that we've managed to clear out a bit, but there's more debris cirrus over the mountains.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    I'll put my money on that.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Socked in with clouds. Don't see how realize any potential today north of I-66.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    That's gotta be the HRRR mix out bias. No other meso model gets our dews that low.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Got a screencap?
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Big red flag for tomorrow.is how underwhelming the event has been today in the Midwest. Was expected to be a squall line, instead it's mostly clusters.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Keep it Yoda level. I'm not sold west of I-95.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR does mix things out a lot. It's a known bias.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Worried that we see a drop off north of I-66. This seems like a Virginia and maybe Delmarva event.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    If things sustain or uptick a bit I could eventually see a D1 ENH for southern Delmarva or RIC land. Really not confident about this north of I-66 until I wake up Monday morning and see we aren't contaminated with debris clouds or something else.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It's an FAA radar so the mystery will remain a mystery.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    If we wake up Monday with little or no debris clouds, it could be interesting. Stout mid level lapse rates are a key ingredient in overcoming the mesoscale geographic features that mitigate a lot of our severe weather days.
×
×
  • Create New...