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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Radar go brrrr
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Appears Reading ASOS may have measured 0.75" of rain in 15 min. Very impressive.
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Low level lapse rates are pretty decent (approaching 8c/km) and DCAPE is nearing 900j/kg in the watch area. IMO, definitely a wet microburst risk.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Mesoscale disco for Baltimore metro and points NE: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2023/md1475.html CC: @mappy @toolsheds @psuhoffman
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Sever Thunderstorm Watch until 8pm being issued for most of DC/Baltimore metro.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Impressive:
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Another watch box coming: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2023/md1474.html
  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Pretty safe to say some of the CAMs are busting hard and seem to be underestimating the morning activity. HRRR appears to have missed all of the pre-game convection from I-83 northeast into PA.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    I-76 @ MM 329 (WEADLEY RD) looks to be 1 to 2 feet of water across the road. Mt. Holly CWA jackpots again.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Updated LWX AFD:
  14. Eskimo Joe
    You can see the orographic enhancement along Catoctin Mt. and into S. Central PA already. Classic summertime setup for heavy rain.
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch coming out for Carroll, Baltimore County, Baltimore City, Cecil, and Harford counties until 6pm.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Cautiously agree with you.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    It's a shame the trough aix isn't further SW into say SW PA. We'd be game on for a truly interesting day.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR really loves I-270 and points north and east today. Some parts of NE Maryland and Baltimore metro really jackpot (3"+).
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Early morning CAMs seem pretty progressive. Seems like we can put the flood risk to bed. More of a scattered wind threat today.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Welcome to mesoscale forecasting.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Tomorrow definitely has some potential, though I'm more interested in the flooding risk.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Sunday is slightly intriguing for heavy rainfall potential. Particularly DC and points North and East. Might see a Mod Risk from WPC pop up for Sunday into Monday.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Was fixing our flood sensor at Beach Dr & E Stanhope Rd. Heard the tower going up. Amazing how one or two blocks makes all the difference in the summer.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Last night's rain was perfect to mitigate transplant shock. More perennials go in this weekend. I'm thinking bubble gum pink coneflowers and dahlias.
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