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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the lead cell in Montgomery gusted out and caused a nice circular outflow boundary. The secondary activity that was over NOVA picked right up on that and just congealed into a nice multi-cell line. Mesoscale meteorology is so cool.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Hail E1.5" reported in Fairfax County. Impressive.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    DCA just gusted to 60 mph
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Kudos to the HRRR for nailing this.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Tend to agree. Even if it's a 20% watch issuance meso. Seems like there's an overall lack of deep layer shear to really congeal the activity, so it's probably just going to be decent pulsers with some wet microbursts.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like 2 distinct clusters. Southern end that already had a warning on it and appears to have a verified LSR coming out. Second cluster near Cumberland. So far, that one looks decent.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Events like that are why I'm in favor of the Enhanced Risk category from SPC. Helps with those rando events where there's decent upside potential but it's not one of those "uh oh" events.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR tries to bring a few beefy cells into the northwest suburbs this afternoon.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Pretty robust DCAPE western zones and already a warned cell with CG in West Virginia.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Might see some sneaky upper 90s today in the UHI.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Mesoscale forecasting is a P.I.T.A. It's nice to have CAMs, but they don't see to handle initiation well in this part of the country.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Westminster ASOS hit 99 today. HX of 104. Wtf.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, 1,500 SBCAPE, bit of a lee trough, good ll lapse rates, and okay mid level lapse rates. Also got a belt of 40kt shear. Maybe some sneaky storms in the NW suburbs today?
  14. Eskimo Joe
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Rocky Gap and Cumberland have won a special place in my heart. Would move out there in a skinny minute.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Was out in Frostburg yesterday scoping some potential mesonet sites. Western Maryland is beautiful.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Any pics out of Wilmington, VT?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Prior to today, Vermont was never in a Day 2 High Risk for rainfall.
  19. Eskimo Joe
  20. Eskimo Joe
    We just suck as weather here. Plain and simple.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Only saving grace for many is having this system be a few hours early (can't maximize surface instability) and a bit more progressive than forecast. Otherwise, double digit rainfall totals might be more widespread.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Just a heads up, these cells firing in Baltimore mean business M0.3" in 15 min at my rain gage just NW of Baltimore City.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    WPC meso: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=679&yr=2023
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