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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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I was referring to everything getting swept out to sea this winter, but you do you.
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Mean trough in the Midwest is too far east by about 200 miles. Preview of winter? Probably.
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Statewide mesonet is in process. We're currently selecting sites statewide and hopefully will be getting physical stations jn the ground in the next 10 to 14 months.
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Bust. Meso guidance is poo for.us today. Really not sure why the flood watch is still up. Hopefully we'll score today. New England is stealing our winter snow and summer rains now.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's 84 degrees at nearly 11pm. Something is going to give here.- 2,785 replies
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DCA M60mph National Mall (Smithsonian Castle?) M46mph
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the lead cell in Montgomery gusted out and caused a nice circular outflow boundary. The secondary activity that was over NOVA picked right up on that and just congealed into a nice multi-cell line. Mesoscale meteorology is so cool.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hail E1.5" reported in Fairfax County. Impressive.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
DCA just gusted to 60 mph- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kudos to the HRRR for nailing this.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Tend to agree. Even if it's a 20% watch issuance meso. Seems like there's an overall lack of deep layer shear to really congeal the activity, so it's probably just going to be decent pulsers with some wet microbursts.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like 2 distinct clusters. Southern end that already had a warning on it and appears to have a verified LSR coming out. Second cluster near Cumberland. So far, that one looks decent.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Events like that are why I'm in favor of the Enhanced Risk category from SPC. Helps with those rando events where there's decent upside potential but it's not one of those "uh oh" events.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Latest HRRR tries to bring a few beefy cells into the northwest suburbs this afternoon.- 2,785 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty robust DCAPE western zones and already a warned cell with CG in West Virginia.- 2,785 replies
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Might see some sneaky upper 90s today in the UHI.
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Mesoscale forecasting is a P.I.T.A. It's nice to have CAMs, but they don't see to handle initiation well in this part of the country.
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Westminster ASOS hit 99 today. HX of 104. Wtf.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea, 1,500 SBCAPE, bit of a lee trough, good ll lapse rates, and okay mid level lapse rates. Also got a belt of 40kt shear. Maybe some sneaky storms in the NW suburbs today?- 2,785 replies
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Rocky Gap and Cumberland have won a special place in my heart. Would move out there in a skinny minute.
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Was out in Frostburg yesterday scoping some potential mesonet sites. Western Maryland is beautiful.
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Any pics out of Wilmington, VT?
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Prior to today, Vermont was never in a Day 2 High Risk for rainfall.