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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 100% violets. If you want to mitigate them without harsh chemicals, try removing all the mulch, put down a dense layer of newspaper, then 3 to 4 inches of mulch. It will work well for a year or two.
  2. Alfredo is a great climatologist. Really digging the newsletters.
  3. Going back to 2000 within the LWX CWA, the highest number of tornado years are ones with a landfalling tropical cyclone. The exception to that rule was 2012 when we had two "big" events.
  4. We haven't had a decent regionwide event since the 2012 Derecho.
  5. I made a point of mowing my lawn last Saturday in between the rain. I was fortunate to have a few hours of sun to dry everything out. Had I not done that, I would have been in the same situation as you.
  6. That must sting for them. The resorts had major problems this winter staying open and now in May it snows.
  7. Same goes for pulling ivy out of the ground.
  8. Yea looks like a complete bust for anything else today. This system ended up far more progressive than it was modeled.
  9. Maybe a warm rainfall process? Doesn't radar underestimate those kind of returns?
  10. True, but I was hoping for a more widespread stratiform rain all day.
  11. Radar looks absolutely pathetic.
  12. Despite a soaker on Friday, my lawn was pretty darn dry when I cut it today. Amazing to see how quick soil moisture gets sucked up when we have full leafout.
  13. 12z HREF out of SPC soaks Delmarva and central PA tomorrow. Tries for a few 6"+ jackpots in those areas.
  14. Looks like we get severe or heavy rain. I'll take the latter.
  15. Well said. We have two big players in our favor: 1.) Dynamic neutral to negative tilted low racing to our NW. 2.) Short wave rotating around the base of the low. The dynamics are there, question is whether we can get a few hours of sun to mix things up.
  16. Meso guidance really starting to up the ante for the Sunday system.
  17. Looks like some kind of deform band trying to set up. Almost winterlike.
  18. Latest HRRR shifts all the afternoon and overnight rain east into Delmarva.
  19. Looks like it. Probably a little vort max rolling up.
  20. This is mentioned in the latest LWX AFD update. It's very nino-esque!
  21. I'll bet that winds up verifying further north and east than modeled.
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