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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Short term guidance starting to highlight some beefier totals along the US 29 corridor, somewhere between Laurel and Fairfax. Wonder if there's some kind of low level convergence being picked up by the HRRR/NAM family?
  2. Got a screencap for those who are mobile?
  3. 18z Sat to 00z Sunday look fairly rain free, but clouds might hang tough up your way.
  4. If the 12z Euro is to be believed, some parts of the I-95 corridor could push 4" to 5" of rain. By the time Monday morning rolls around. @usedtobe always said it takes a flood to break a drought.
  5. 12z Euro has a legit comma head and almost like a trowel feature over I-95 at 00z Friday. PWATS approaching 1.75". Very Nino-esque.
  6. Agreed. It's been so dry that some of the waterways in Montgomery County have dropped below the level for our flood gages and are reading zero water level. When we had the rain last Saturday, there were watersheds so low that it took close to 4 hours to even see a small response on portions of Great Seneca Creek and Cabin John Branch.
  7. Interesting @MN Transplant. We'll see how accurate this is for the weekend. Maybe another tool in the kit for future events?
  8. Not sure how accurate this is, but implies a soaker ahead.
  9. Yea I have a ton of yard work to do. Would gladly sacrifice Friday and Sunday. Just give me a dry Saturday until 3:00 pm.
  10. So far it looks like the NAM Nest is right?
  11. Euro really drying up, but other guidance is wet. Either the Euro is about to score a coup or is going to look like a fool.
  12. Thinking of uncovering my fig tree next week. Any risk of deep cold appears to be gone.
  13. Looks like the 12z GFS has a solid 1.5" - 3" regionwide for this whole weekend. Nice.
  14. A rainfall like this spread over several days would be perfect. Everything is leafed out so there's ample room to absorb a lot of precip.
  15. We need a solid 1-2" event every week for a month.
  16. Line was pretty solid in Finksburg. Solid 20 min of heavy rain and wind gusts easily 30 to 40 mph.
  17. Cell near Culpepper warned. Definitely looks like a little notch too.
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