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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    18z GEFS looked terrible 10-15 day. I disagree with the Run as it just looks too much a jumbled up mess. It has nearly all of Canada and the US in high heights, torch . Looks like the Heat Mizer made that run.
  2. Daniel Boone
    That's great ! Alot of folks aren't these Days.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that Pendulum I alluded to earlier. Depending on how long this upcoming warmup lasts and the cold returns and lasts I think should be pretty indicative to which way we turn ; the colder or warmer Set.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that will enhance the Snowcover on the Lee sides.
  5. Daniel Boone
    True. The Nino look is a bit of a Puzzle. The Study did find that the Nina augmented Pac Ridge is shunted Eastward toward the GOA with the Pattern so, that would allow for possible Aleutian LP Development. As we know, typically you get that in a Nino. As far as a STJ , the Nina is weak so we should have that to work with some but, not a formidable one like in a Nino. This Winter just may be one of the odd out, off kilter One's that causes alot of busted Forecasts.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, research by Webb showed that correlation a couple weeks ago. Study showed it appeared to augment a + TNH.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Verbatim that would be some heavy snow with that set-up.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it would work out to a back and forth Winter pretty good. A trough axis that oscillates from the Rockies/Plains to the Apps and occasionally further East can really work out in our favor with more gulf involvement as I think you and I touched on recently. That should keep the SER squelched enough for some Winter Storm Opportunities. I'm still not sold on next week. Hopefully, as John alluded to, thing's will become more clear cut. Thanks for the wellwishes my friend. We made it back home last night. Unfortunately, I came down with a Cold while there. Our Church is having a Dinner over in your neck of the woods tomorrow so, hopefully I'm up to it.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Actually, some decent year's in there snowfall wise here in the Southern Apps.. about even for above and below average.
  10. Daniel Boone
    That looks more like a possibility. Other looked like it moved Siberia to the lower 48.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, probably a pretty close call either way. The Pendulum could swing one way or the other.
  12. Daniel Boone
    The Seasonals factor ENSO in the heaviest . Depending on how much influence it has will determine whether that Trough is there or further East imo. . The Aleutian Ridge a good example here. Tilt that thing further East into the GOA .
  13. Daniel Boone
    Zilch way up here near Charles town WV. Heard around an inch back home with some area's of Lee County 2 inches.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Just looked at Security Camera at home and there's probably between a quarter and a half inch and still snowing.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, if that sequence comes to fruition we should be in decent shape.
  16. Daniel Boone
    That would go along with Webb's earlier thoughts and also with the MJO progression probably.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Light snow here in Charles town.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Light Snow falling up here . Looks heavier just to the south toward Winchester and west toward Mountains.
  19. Daniel Boone
    I left east out ,lol
  20. Daniel Boone
    Excellent post Buddy !
  21. Daniel Boone
    Let's hope so. Webb's not as confident today as yesterday I noticed. Today's sudden Model changes I think got him a bit. Negative asian mountain torque. As far as myself, I still think back and forth type Winter but, am a bit concerned over Snowfall as it doesn't appear the +TNH Pattern will provide a deep enough Trough to help with low road development. I could be wrong as it'll be close during Time's of +TNH Patterns. Could be the MJO will make it to cold phases with enough amp to raise the odds at the right time.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Thanks brother. Yeah, apparently Models underestimated RH Southern boundary or the trajectory some. A tad further South is a big deal when 15 statute you go from up to an inch to nothing.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Can't be. You're in the no snow zone KMRX has for tonight, lol
  24. Daniel Boone
    Thanks Brother ! I agree with everything you're saying man. As soon as I saw the GFS follow the Euro and they then show a viable way that thing can cut, without strong upstream blocking that's the usual path . I'm still thinking back and forth this Winter but, probably not alot of Snow. I was along the lines of a high probability of mildest Winter in Record but, the slow strengthening Nina and somewhat eastward progression plus the subtle changes in PDO and Atlantic SST'S around Nova Scotia made me back off that.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, holding energy back in the SW like it always has. That apparently wasn't worked on during recent upgrade from the way it looks.
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