MattPetrulli

Not really any change in new advisory, still think we can peak at 65-70 knots before a SC landfall Friday, NHC alludes to this in the discussion with favorable trough interaction. Also seeing sustained tropical force conditions in Orlando and other areas inland is pretty impressive imo

Eyewall has turned into a supercell like structure. Pretty cool, wonder what's going on with that.

This is pretty impressive Tropical storm conditions are occurring over a wide swath of the Florida peninsula. An automated station at the Airglades Airport, located west of Lake Okeechobee recently reported sustained winds of 42 mph (68 km/h) with a gust to 56 mph (90 km/h). A WeatherFlow station located at Skyway Beach in St. Petersburg, Florida recently measured sustained winds of 46 mph (74 km/h) with a gust to 51 mph (82 km/h). A WeatherFlow station located at Melbourne Beach Barrier Island Sanctuary recently observed sustained winds of 42 mph (68 km/h) with a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h). Coast to coast TS conditions

telling my grandchildren the ICON nailed Ian

18z Euro continuing the trend of bringing a Cat 1 ashore Friday in Carolinas.

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 700 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...7 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE... ...IAN BATTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING... A NOAA National Ocean Service station near Ft. Myers recently reported a water level greater than 7 ft (2.1 m) Mean Higher High Water (MHHW). A University of Florida Coastal Monitoring Program wind tower recently reported sustained winds of 64 mph (103 km/h) with a wind gust of 104 mph (167 km/h). A private weather station near Port Charlotte reported a sustained wind of 115 mph (185 km/h) with a wind gust of 132 mph (212 km/h) as Ian made landfall on the mainland Florida peninsula a little more than 2 hours ago.

This is around downtown Ft Myers I think

18z GFS continues the trend of deepening and brings a 982 MB storm west of Charleston Friday evening.

7.2 now and continuing to rise at a pretty fast rate

Man I thought SE eyewall degrading and north wobbles could spare Cape Coral area a little, but SW eyewall decided to wrap in and probably is gonna deliver some really bad surge

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/storm/Ian.html Ft Myers at 5.31 and on a steep rise

4.38 ft is the highest crest ever on that. We may double that.

Ft Myers/Cape Coral getting into the SE eyewall. May start to see some real surge into actual Ft Myers now.

Cantore is taking an absolute beating in Punta Gorda. Some of the highest live tv wind I have ever seen.

Ahem.

Looking ahead, NHC issuing hurricane warnings for SC/GA coast at 5 PM is a real possibility. Every global model with the 12z suite has it going under some type of deepening during the day Friday.

FYI, 12z Euro brings Ian in as a 981 MB storm Friday in GA/SC border.