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MattPetrulli

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Everything posted by MattPetrulli

  1. MattPetrulli
    I like 4/2's potential a lot. Potential is there for a substantial event.
  2. MattPetrulli
    Went outside, got a thin glaze of ice on the car. Probably will keep me home tomorrow. Pretty impressed with how widespread the freezing rain is.
  3. MattPetrulli
    All the METARs in the region are at 32 or lower. This makes me think this is a big batch of freezing rain. w
  4. MattPetrulli
    06z HRRR really bumped up the ice accumulation.
  5. MattPetrulli
  6. MattPetrulli
    MRX updated their snow map I actually think they're being too aggressive, at least for Sevier County.
  7. MattPetrulli
    Once again Euro vs GFS. GFS is kind of the outlier here, only model in its camp is the ICON. The rest are just a slushy mix for most of the valley.
  8. MattPetrulli
    Still a mix here. One of the most disappointing forecast busts, if not the most I have ever experienced.
  9. MattPetrulli
    I hope this band coming in gives an inch or 2
  10. MattPetrulli
    Heavy snow in Sevierville finally. Maybe too little too late though.
  11. MattPetrulli
    No power and a cold rain in Sevierville .
  12. MattPetrulli
    We’ve run into a massive problem in Sevier County.. mixing. HRRR has us being stuck in a mix all day. While it looks like it’s snowing hard on radar here, it’s not. This is extremely disappointing and frustrating if it ends up winning out. .
  13. MattPetrulli
    Still a bit worried about the warm nose, but if that isn't a problem, I can see Sevier County overperforming. Especially given the HRRR dry bias.
  14. MattPetrulli
    Well, the warm nose has made a reappearance.
  15. MattPetrulli
    Lol am I being trolled? EDIT: Showcasing HRRR dry bias
  16. MattPetrulli
    Really excited about these rates. Hopefully can exceed an inch+ an hour.
  17. MattPetrulli
    TYS reporting moderate snow with this band, first real band about to come through.
  18. MattPetrulli
    Classic HRRR dry bias .
  19. MattPetrulli
    All 00z models including CAMS paste the Valley. Nam family is on an island. Becoming more and more optimistic for a good snow event
  20. MattPetrulli
    OHX and MRX going conservative on snow totals
  21. MattPetrulli
    I'm worried about mixing in Sevier County. RGEM, ICON, HRRR, NAM, NAM3K, even the 18z GFS show a possibility of this. Really want a FV3 type of solution with all snow, but am afraid that possibility is beginning to fade. Still a lot of time for change, but after so many disappointing winters/setups, I am greedy for snow.
  22. MattPetrulli
  23. MattPetrulli
    01z NBM
  24. MattPetrulli
    We're so back
  25. MattPetrulli
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