MattPetrulli

telling my grandchildren the ICON nailed Ian

18z Euro continuing the trend of bringing a Cat 1 ashore Friday in Carolinas.

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 700 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...7 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE... ...IAN BATTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING... A NOAA National Ocean Service station near Ft. Myers recently reported a water level greater than 7 ft (2.1 m) Mean Higher High Water (MHHW). A University of Florida Coastal Monitoring Program wind tower recently reported sustained winds of 64 mph (103 km/h) with a wind gust of 104 mph (167 km/h). A private weather station near Port Charlotte reported a sustained wind of 115 mph (185 km/h) with a wind gust of 132 mph (212 km/h) as Ian made landfall on the mainland Florida peninsula a little more than 2 hours ago.

This is around downtown Ft Myers I think

18z GFS continues the trend of deepening and brings a 982 MB storm west of Charleston Friday evening.

7.2 now and continuing to rise at a pretty fast rate

Man I thought SE eyewall degrading and north wobbles could spare Cape Coral area a little, but SW eyewall decided to wrap in and probably is gonna deliver some really bad surge

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/storm/Ian.html Ft Myers at 5.31 and on a steep rise

4.38 ft is the highest crest ever on that. We may double that.

Ft Myers/Cape Coral getting into the SE eyewall. May start to see some real surge into actual Ft Myers now.

Cantore is taking an absolute beating in Punta Gorda. Some of the highest live tv wind I have ever seen.

Ahem.

Looking ahead, NHC issuing hurricane warnings for SC/GA coast at 5 PM is a real possibility. Every global model with the 12z suite has it going under some type of deepening during the day Friday.

FYI, 12z Euro brings Ian in as a 981 MB storm Friday in GA/SC border.

Mike Seidel on TWC is live in Ft Myers and it's an absolutely insane shot.

Eye appears to have contracted a little bit and wobbled north. Frictional convergence really tightening up the eastern eyewall.

This sheared tropical storm is insane