Jump to content

MattPetrulli

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,736

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by MattPetrulli

  1. MattPetrulli
    Something of note also, GFS trending a little lesser with the dry air the more west it goes
  2. MattPetrulli
    12z GFS may be a Hurricane Dennis like scenario of a weakening, but major hurricane affecting that area. Still would have significant impacts.
  3. MattPetrulli
  4. MattPetrulli
    Something of note, a big bend landfall would probably be best case scenario here. Small storm may limit surge into major west coast cities, and big bend is pretty unpopulated. Also, may be a weakening hurricane rather than a strengthening one. Atm I would favor a landfall just north of Tampa however
  5. MattPetrulli
    Shift west on 00z GEFS, but quite a wide spread
  6. MattPetrulli
    00z GFS further east and weaker
  7. MattPetrulli
    Frictional convergence increasing on landfalling eyewall leading to intense DBZs. Definitely still got a Cat 2-3 level storm.
  8. MattPetrulli
    Curious if new flare up is indicative of a LLC reformation to the SW
  9. MattPetrulli
    Now have Tropical Storm Ian according to best track or whatever that thingy is called 35 knt 1005 MB
  10. MattPetrulli
  11. MattPetrulli
    Thread for banter of future tropical storm/hurricane/major hurricane Ian
  12. MattPetrulli
    Nice sting jet bro
  13. MattPetrulli
    Almost like if you don't take the bait the bait disappears!
  14. MattPetrulli
    East shift on 18z GEFS
  15. MattPetrulli
    New cone is slightly west
  16. MattPetrulli
    TD10 has been given the name Hermine. TD 9 will be Ian.
  17. MattPetrulli
    Intense burst of convection too
  18. MattPetrulli
    18z Spaghettis go west
  19. MattPetrulli
    Important observation is almost all of those are significant hits, different from the decaying tropical storm the 12z GFS provided
  20. MattPetrulli
    Something not talked about much, Havana and the Keys have a decent shot at sustaining a significant hurricane hit before moving towards main SW Florida, assuming a path further to the east is realized.
  21. MattPetrulli
    Andrew
  22. MattPetrulli
    That's gonna be a fairly significant Carolinas hit
  23. MattPetrulli
    Slight adjustment west would be worse. Would push more surge into Ft Myers area which is extremely surge prone
  24. MattPetrulli
    12z Euro basically follows the exact NHC cone
  25. MattPetrulli
    FWIW HMON and HWRF which are on the left side of the guidance absolutely explodes TD9
×
×
  • Create New...