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MattPetrulli

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Everything posted by MattPetrulli

  1. Yeah I agree, there has been an obvious detrition of the west eyewall. Doesn't matter much at this point though, catastrophic landfall is pretty much set in stone.
  2. Yeah Ida with no exaggeration really looks better each frame. Would be surprised if recon doesn't find a category 3.
  3. Yeah I thought they would at least put up watches again for the MS coast.
  4. Gotta think hourly updates begin soon with the center almost fully visible on radar
  5. Which if it gets to 105 knots by 11 AM tomorrow, fits the definition of rapid intensification.
  6. 11 PM stays at 105, pressure down to 964.
  7. I agree, I would be surprised if they keep it at 90 knots, assuming the appearance doesn't degrade.
  8. Probably looking at a 110-115 MPH storm currently given the impressive core organization of the past few hours, imo.
  9. After looking a little ragged temporarily, a new tower is going up in the eastern eyewall and eye is about as warm as it has ever been.
  10. Only adjustment on 8 PM advisory is pressure is down to 969 MB.
  11. 18z HWRF and HMON are stronger and a tick east
  12. Big blow up in the western eyewall last half hour along with new towers in NW and N eyewall. Definitely starting to really get going.
  13. Satellite has the best look of its lifetime so far currently too
  14. Something notable about 5 PM advisory, nearly 50 knot sustained 90 miles from the center Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). NOAA buoy 42003, located about 90 miles (145 km) east of the eye, reported peak one-minuted sustained winds of 54 mph (83 km/h) with a gust to 58 mph (94 km/h) within the past hour or so.
  15. SFMR lagging a bit, should catch up with pressure soon though. Assuming this is the strongest quad.
  16. Despite an improving eye with organization, there has been a notable warming of eyewall convention in last hour or two. Probably won't continue, but important to note
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