roardog

I think the ensembles look interesting going forward. Both the gefs and especially the eps have higher heights building in Alaska and NW Canada in the medium range. That would push/bleed cold air into the SE ridge. The red colors on the height anomaly maps don't always mean warm at the surface in a pattern like that, especially the more north you go.

I have kind of a random question. Before the NWS changed the format of the daily temp/precip records there used to be a lot more stations in what I think was called the daily almanac or something like that. Now, with the new format, not all of those stations are on the list. Is there a way to still access that data? I know some were from waste water treatment plants so I would assume they’re still recording data.

Sounds like a miserable place(weather wise) to be in the Spring. lol

Doesn’t a “volcanic” winter have a tendency to produce a positive AO and positive NAO with mild mid latitudes? I don’t think most people posting here would like that.

If the AGW trend has been dry in the Midwest, I’d hate to see what wet is considering all the precip that seems to fall each year. A hot and dry year like 2012 feels impossible.

I like the text from the high wind warning out of North Platte. It says holiday decorations will be damaged or blown away. lol

Generally speaking, most winter lovers in the east probably don’t want Valdez to break a record as that’s usually bad news for eastern winter lovers.

The question is what actually determines how high they build their nest?

Plus early cold Octobers are pretty useless.

There’s no reason to think this is the start of any kind of long term recovery but if somehow we ever did get into a long term recovery, a gradual increase is how it would begin. You aren’t going to get back to the 1980s or even 1990s average minimum anytime soon with the loss of so much MYI. It would probably take a decade or more of consistent ice increases to build up enough MYI to get us back to those kind of minimums. I think it’s kind of interesting though if we end up higher than the 2010s average.

Isn't it your immune system that causes the issues that lead to serious complications or death just like the 1918 flu pandemic? Basically the virus does it's thing and after about a week to 10 days, you either recover or get seriously ill, correct? So, the vaccines basically allow your immune system to recognize Covid as something it's seen before which allows your immune system to be more prepared for it as opposed to completely caught off guard. This makes sense as to why most vaccinated people don't get seriously ill from it. The same thing should eventually occur naturally as the virus burns through the population. It won't go away but it'll just be another virus that causes cold symptoms. Unfortunately, it would seem to me that measures to curb the transmission of the virus is just delaying the ability for it to burn through the population and become endemic.

I remember you posting about how you can't get weather like that in July anymore. Maybe you still can.

A business owner would be a fool to only allow vaccinated people into their business if they want to stay in business.

We are just going to have to learn to live with the virus. It isn’t going away. We have a vaccine and that’s about the best we can ask for. It sucks that so many people died but we are still living in a great time medically speaking overall compared to what people dealt with in the past. There should not be anymore restrictions put into place.

I don’t know enough about Hadley cell expansion but why was that the cause of the well above normal temperatures on the east coast during that Nina February but didn’t hold back the brutal stretch of cold that winter from mid December to late January here in the Midwest? It just seems like so much of this stuff only works when it’s convenient. Remember when declining Arctic sea ice was causing high latitude blocking? How about Siberian snow cover advancement in Autumn determining high latitude blocking for winter? It only works when it’s convenient. I’m not saying there isn’t some truth to these ideas but i just feel like people have a tendency to simplify the atmosphere too much sometimes.

It gets into the 80s in mid winter in New England every other year?

If there is a summer that has potential for extreme heat around here, this might be the one with the dryness. I would say highs in the 90s in early June for possibly several days in a row is actually pretty extreme.

Watermelon have a hard time with cold. Sometimes it’s hard to get them growing even without frost if it’s relatively cool.

The melt season is starting off kind of boring this year.

So what happened to weatherbo? He seems to have disappeared.

It’s kind of funny how we can remember certain events from a young age. I can remember the warm Christmas of 1982 even though I was only 4. Although I can’t remember specifics, I can remember it because it was the main topic of conversation that day.

I can remember the weather channel having a segment called Drought Watch at like 8pm every night during the summer of ‘88. lol

If we are going to do heat then give me ‘95 over ‘88. Unless you’re looking for an extreme air temperature then you should want to take the humid summer of ‘95 to at least get a derecho or two.

I’d bet about $1000 that the summer of ‘21 will not be as cool or cooler than the summer of ‘09.

This is probably a silly question but did she get tested for covid?