roardog

Did he take a turn for the worse? I thought he was doing better during the summer.

The snow COULD be heavy at times? With 91-97 inches in one night, I would say it would have to be heavy all night.

Strep throat? I’ve had those symptoms with strep throat before. One way to tell the difference between a sore throat from strep throat and from other illnesses such as a cold is with strep you won’t get any kind of congestion in your nose/lungs. I learned that tidbit from a doctor one time when I had it about 20 years ago.

I do know that I’ll take my chances with a La Niña over an El Niño in this area any day.

So if a city has temps in the 90s or even 100F then it snows a couple of days later, do you think warm ground will be a problem for accumulations? People in our region get worried when it is 40F the day before. lol

When was the last time the region had a September with below normal temps? 2012? It feels like it's been awhile.

They don’t have a precip map as far as I can see, just a percentage of normal snowfall map. Basically the 100% of normal line is along Lake Michigan, so anywhere east of that has below normal snowfall. They have a pocket of less than 75% of normal snowfall around the mid Atlantic region. In other words, our area all the way east into New England is between 75 and 100 percent of normal snowfall.

Apparently testing was way up, which is a good thing. Positivity rate was only 3.1% which is actually below the 7 day average.

Something that I’ve noticed here this summer is that there’s been an unusually low amount of thunder and lightning. Even when we’ve had convection, there hasn’t been much thunder and lightning with it. Usually with a hot summer, you get a good amount of lightning. Anyone else notice that?

I wonder if in a place like Buffalo, if you need a warm June to get a record July. If you had a cool June and Lake Erie wasn’t so warm I think it would be much harder to get that record.

Without looking up the data, it doesn’t seem like it’s been dry around here. The early 2010s had some dryness(especially 2012) but it doesn’t seem like it’s been very dry the past several summers. Again, this is without looking up the actual data.

Alcohol withdrawal can be serious but so can getting the low paid cashier at the store infected with Covid-19 from the customer that couldn’t go without his whiskey since a liquor store is essential.

I’m all for non essential businesses and outings being closed. So, let’s then have all non essential businesses and outings actually closed. Lottery essential? lol. Liquor stores essential? Even bigger lol. Do we really even need fast food drive thru open?

I guess I should have read the original post more clearly. It’s for the city of Champaign. That is crazy stuff though.

So what law did Illinois pass? I can’t seem to find info on it.

It looks like we haven’t had a PDO reading that negative since 2013. That’s probably a sign that things are changing in the Pacific.

Still couldn’t get the yellow orb here. Only made it to about 40F.

Do you think another weak Nino/warm neutral year is coming?

I’m pretty sure a strong El Niño isn’t known for a SE ridge and strong blocking SW of Alaska like we are headed. If anything that looks more like a strong La Niña.

I think the biggest problems with this month prior to this week are: A lack of precip(extremely boring) The outrageous cold and snow in November which caused December to feel warmer than it really was so far.

I like the long range discussions you have in this sub forum even if I don’t live in it. Anyway, the pattern on the EPS and GEFS toward day 15 look more “Niña” to me. I wonder if we will start to see a rise in the SOI coming up. If we do start to see a rise in the SOI , I bet the MJO will come out of the COD too. It could also be that the day 15 look is completely wrong. lol I think watching this evolve is really interesting and also shows the limitations of both humans and models with forecasting even only two weeks out.

The current look toward day 15 on both the GEFS and EPS looks kind of “Nina” to me. It looks like it would be stormy in this sub forum if that look became reality.

Isn’t it unusual though for a second year El Niño to just keep strengthening through Spring right into Summer and Autumn? Doesn’t it usually dissipate a bit during the Spring before re-organizing during the Summer and Autumn?

Do you think Nino again next Winter?

Must be an offshore wind lol. The current observation is 62/59. I see they had temps in the upper 60s with the dewpoints in the upper 50s yesterday. That must feel so warm to the residents there. It looks like rain and snow showers in the forecast in a couple of days though.