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roardog

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Everything posted by roardog

  1. roardog
    If the western US doesn’t get some precip this winter it could be bad next summer if it’s dry out there.
  2. roardog
    The last real concrete i remember here was early January 2024. It snowed pretty hard for hours and we got like 2 inches of snow. lol. It was 33F or 34F the whole time.
  3. roardog
    Not too many posters have probably been paying attention to this storm but there has been a huge NW/stronger trend with this over the last few days. It doesn't mean much to most here but to see systems becoming stronger as they get closer in time instead of weaker like we've seen the last 10 years is different.
  4. roardog
    After 23-24 I feel like most posters here would rather take their chances with a decently +PDO if we have to deal with a stronger Nino. The -PDO with the mc forcing seemed to make things worse for sure.
  5. roardog
    What did RONI peak at in 23-24? I feel like the atmosphere behaved more like a strong/borderline super Nino with a -PDO than anything weaker than that.
  6. roardog
    Maybe this will do something similar. Flip the PDO this year then get a stronger Nino next year. I could see something like that playing out.
  7. roardog
    I can’t believe we would see another strong Nino after just having a very strong one so recently.
  8. roardog
    Overall in the means the pattern has definitely been different than what we’ve seem from the mid 2010s until recently. It seems like it was just about impossible to get sustained western US ridging for many years. Alek always used to post about how it’s always wet in this new climate. We’ve seen some deviation from that recently too.
  9. roardog
    Everyone has been complaining the last few years that we don't get clippers anymore. Well, do you want a clipper pattern or not? lol
  10. roardog
    I feel like living where you do would actually be frustrating if you like snow. Clare county is so close but yet so far away from consistent heavy LES from Lake Michigan. I have no chance over here to get heavy snow from Lake Michigan but at least I can from Lake Huron even if it’s hard to get a north or northeast flow with favorable conditions.
  11. roardog
    Looks about the same around here. It’s hazardous to walk anywhere.lol. Good thing there isn’t any wind tonight
  12. roardog
    It could be your favorite weather next week. Very cold and dry.
  13. roardog
    Yeah. It looks nasty. Models showing .5-.75 inches of rain with most of it being freezing rain.
  14. roardog
    07-08 is what I picture when I think of a canonical Nina around here.
  15. roardog
    Isn’t there actually supposed to be something to that? I can’t remember where I’ve seen that before.
  16. roardog
    Yeah. If your thing is just to have snowstorms then you’re almost better off hoping for above normal temps in the dead of winter.
  17. roardog
    You’re not excited about the inevitable days of low clouds and fog that ultimately comes with every mild winter day around here?
  18. roardog
    He seems to me like someone who is just unhappy with life at the moment. I know he mentioned one time that he was working two jobs to make ends meet. He knows most here like cold and snow so he looks for reasons against that to make other people unhappy since he is. Sometimes it’s just the way humans are. If things aren’t going great in his life right now, I hope things get better for him.
  19. roardog
    I wonder if it actually has to do with December temperature anomalies? If it’s “cold” then NYC obviously has a better chance of snow in December. Then the idea that if December is cold in a Nina, there seems to be a better chance of more cold during the rest of winter comes into play. When a Nina December is “warm” it seems to foreshadow a bleak rest of winter a lot of times.
  20. roardog
    Well you didn’t really expect December to end up like 15 degrees below normal for an entire month, did you? lol
  21. roardog
    I’m not sure it can get cold enough to postpone an NFL game.
  22. roardog
    It just really boils down to you not being happy with the climo of where you live. Most people don’t have ability to just up and move to wherever they want. You can’t expect Chicago to have the climo that you desire. I don’t even think International Falls or the U.P would work for you. Judging by your rants, I think you’re more of an Edmonton guy. I guess if becoming Canadian isn’t your thing then Fairbanks might work.
  23. roardog
    It seems it would only take a little adjustment in that upcoming pattern for it to actually be interesting around here. A little less western trough and a little less SE ridge would make it interesting here. There will be a lot of cold just north and west of here and probably ample gulf moisture heading up this way too.
  24. roardog
    18Z Nam with another nudge south.
  25. roardog
    Most of the models have shifted south. The HRRR seems to be drunk with the 970 something low in the U.P.
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