Jump to content

Yeoman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,253

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Yeoman

  1. Yeoman
    Yeah I don't get it.. I mean if fantasy day 16 storms don't pan out in late March when will it? Clearly it has under done the freezing rain threat for DC.
  2. Yeoman
    2026 weenie term of the year award by a landslide
  3. Yeoman
    He was formerly teninchjohnson
  4. Yeoman
    Speaking of investing your time wisely, all of those words boil down to this: Long-range forecasting is valuable for identifying threat windows in advance, but it’s useless for details, making you dumb to expect day 10+ guidance to behave like a near-term forecast.
  5. Yeoman
    Right mouse button finally fall off?
  6. Yeoman
    You’re assuming a clean, immediate pattern flip that the guidance doesn’t actually show. Cold erosion is gradual, downstream response lags the Pacific, and a strong NPAC ridge doesn’t guarantee East Coast warmth without a confirmed height rise, which isn’t locked in yet.
  7. Yeoman
    That take assumes the Pacific immediately overwhelms everything downstream, which isn’t how these transitions usually work. A strong NPAC ridge doesn’t automatically squash an EC trough, especially with lingering -AO influence and a trough tucked under higher-latitude ridging. Neutral NAO doesn’t equal warm rain by default. At this range, ensembles are smoothing over key timing and structural details, so declaring this dead based on a broad Pacific signal seems dumb.
  8. Yeoman
    Looking good in Edgewater! Must have skipped right over DC
  9. Yeoman
    Nevermind the fact it's 14 days away.. good lord people
  10. Yeoman
    Quite a few control freaks in this thread. Best not fret over something that is entirely unpredictable and will always be..
  11. Yeoman
    Norfolk is part of Northern VA as much as it sits on the Pacific Ocean.
  12. Yeoman
    Well that settles it
  13. Yeoman
    1/25/2000 - never forget
  14. Yeoman
    The GFS showed essentially the same thing for a few straight runs on Fri and then lost it.
  15. Yeoman
    posts in an obs thread but doesn't bother adding location
  16. Yeoman
    There won't be anymore snow in DC today
  17. Yeoman
    that and zero orographic influence keeps the sustained banding away
  18. Yeoman
    Maybe they're like Va and put it down 5 days before a forecasted storm that never materializes.
  19. Yeoman
    No need for your BF to DoorDash a yardstick
  20. Yeoman
    Does it really matter?
  21. Yeoman
    Booo
  22. Yeoman
    Sleep through the sleet?
  23. Yeoman
    I remember close to 6" of sleet in NoVA in one storm that year
  24. Yeoman
    Must have picked up on what's looking like this early wave break
  25. Yeoman
    HRRR is worthless for predicting band placement until it's inside 18 hours
×
×
  • Create New...