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Jed33

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Everything posted by Jed33

  1. Jed33
    MRX actually updated to mention that in the latest afd. Have had another dusting overnight and some good snow showers this AM.
  2. Jed33
    Even here, the pixie dust has increased for the time. I have a nice dusting again on some surfaces. I sure wasn’t expecting that. I thought that after last night failed that would be it. However, as often it seems is the case in NE TN, the day after the storm, snow showers and patches/small bands form and move through the area. This time is a little different though, bc besides out west, I have never seen it snow at 2 degrees where I currently am sitting.
  3. Jed33
    Getting some fine pixie dust right now. It’s kinda dusted the roof tops and car tops very lightly for the last hour. It’s almost like a fog outside.
  4. Jed33
    The closest thing I can remember was the PV anafrontal snow we had in January 2014, when it snowed a solid 1-3in across the area. That front and moisture worked for the valley, unlike this time. It was around 16 degrees or so when it started snowing that morning and dropped steadily for an hour or two. The snow was over around noon and the temp at the house was 10 by then. By 3 in the afternoon, it was around 6 degrees and around 3 when the sun set. After it was all said and done, we bottomed out at -3 at the house. Some places went lower. The thing about this current event coldwise, it seems, is that it was over a bigger area. The direction of the 2014 event if my memory is correct was centered slightly further east, so that the coldest readings were over E TN and KY and SW VA.
  5. Jed33
    Just had a heavy snow shower roll through town. Barely anything with the main event, and then boom. Laid down about 1/4-1/3in on the roads and everything around in just a matter of minutes!
  6. Jed33
    Yes I wonder if that’s because the flow ended up being more SW to NE allowing a little gulf tap? I also wonder if the added moisture will play into more being able to be squeezed out later as the arctic air works on it?
  7. Jed33
    The GFS is also getting colder for Friday morning! Seeing a lot of sub zero I40 N
  8. Jed33
    I don’t recall a statewide one either! Maybe in the 80’s but it’s been awhile.
  9. Jed33
    I can’t recall ever seeing WC Warning since I’ve lived in E TN! Advisory yes, only warnings for the mtns. Takes a lot for MRX to issue one for the valley
  10. Jed33
    That is the most extreme model I’ve seen. I thought the HRRR had a warm bias? It’s got everyone solidly below zero at 7AM friday
  11. Jed33
    For sure the 5” valley surprise. It was supposed to snow maybe 1/2in and change over to rain due to a warm nose up the valley. The thing is, a cold pool of air developed due to dynamic cooling and CAA, and somehow the warmth got shunted to Johnson City and the mountains. The mountains warmed up to almost 50 degrees and I think even JC was like 47 or so, but to the west it was all snow. Never switched over to rain. Some areas in Hancock Co TN and Lee Co VA had over a foot or more of snow. Never fully understood, even to this day the miracle that happened with that event. Usually the mountains get the snow and somehow they got the shaft and the valley got the goods! I guess it was just meant to be is all I can say.
  12. Jed33
    February of 2015 had me crying uncle and I don’t cry uncle easily! There was snow on the ground for nearly the entire month. It started off with a clipper on steroids and then it seemed like we had snow after snow about every 2-4 days. Several of which were pretty good snows! The thing that got me the most was the inability to work. I’m in pest control, and there’s just not a lot of opportunities to say the least when it gets like that.
  13. Jed33
    GFS looks faster with the cold another 25mi faster east move like it was doing yesterday.
  14. Jed33
    I remember when the official windchill values were changed to supposedly make it more “accurate”. They raised the values, making it harder to achieve cold windchill readings. Back in the 80’s those numbers would have been even colder than that
  15. Jed33
    Yeah, something might be off there, it is not possible for the dewpoint to be higher than the temp. Or put another way, the temp cannot drop lower than the dewpoint. (Fully saturated if they are the same value) The temp and dewpoint can lower at the same time but the lowest the temp can go is the dewpoint.
  16. Jed33
    Use caution because it is the CMC, it did look ever so slightly better for the pre-Christmas storm, but look at Tues! That is how you get a clipper to hook up with the Gulf of Mexico, spawn a low pressure, and make a powerful winter storm! That system is strong enough to bring some warm nose issues up into the eastern valley though, more of a snow to sleet/rain mix and back to light snow at the end. Middle and West TN, North MS and AL fare better than east TN but East TN does ok with it
  17. Jed33
    It looks to me like the GFS is slowly catching onto the magnitude of the cold. If you toggle between the last 3 runs, there is an ever so slow but steady movement eastward in the speed of the cold, maybe 25-30miles faster east, each time, but it seems to be taking very small baby steps in the right direction.
  18. Jed33
    On that 18z GFS run, sub 500mb thicknesses creep into NE TN at around 1AM on Christmas Day! It’s not very often you will see that even modeled for our area!
  19. Jed33
    Will never forget that event. That has to be my favorite Christmas weather event of all time! Heavy snow on Christmas Eve to the tune of about 4.5in and then snow showers all day on Christmas. Of which, the heaviest one was right when we sat down for the Christmas meal. Plus the temps to go with it. High was around 16 degrees and low of 6. Will be hard to ever top that but the 18z run was trying to make a run at it!
  20. Jed33
    Fwiw the CMC from 0z has the upslope this weekend as well.
  21. Jed33
    0.52in of rain from this system today and yesterday. For me, that’s more than I’ve had in over a month from any 1 system.
  22. Jed33
    Bottomed out at 31, but will likely be colder tonight. On that note, look at how massive an area the freeze warning for tonight covers. Can’t ever remember seeing that big of an area so early in the season be under a freeze warning!
  23. Jed33
    Bottomed out at 37 this AM. There was a pretty good bit of frost in the lowest areas around here as well. Actually have had a couple other mornings since it’s been getting cold now with isolated frost in these same low lying areas. These cold mornings and warm dry afternoons should really speed up the Fall foliage in a hurry!
  24. Jed33
    Ended up with 0.25in from Ian. Honestly more than I thought we would get, but we have now moved to the extreme northern part of the county on Cherokee Lake. Which, the way this county sits puts me further east than I was and got me in one of the more moderate bands of rain for a little while last night. This was another one of those sharp gradient storms that we sometimes see. If you go into town where we were living, it drops off considerably to around .10 and if you go to the far southwest side of the county less than that.
  25. Jed33
    Ended up with about 1.5in from Friday night-today! Finally the extended dry spell has ended. 2.22in for the week. I know other areas have seen so much more, but it’s been crazy how hard it has been to get good rains in this part of the valley.
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