Jed33
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Everything posted by Jed33
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was just thinking earlier today, what if the January thaw that we normally get was displaced by a few weeks into December instead of January. Wouldn’t that be something! Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m not calling for that, nor do I even know if there’s any precedent for that. It’s just a thought I had. -
Currently 8° here at the house. Definitely an impressive airmass for sure!
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Last year, the NWS replaced the wind chill advisory with cold weather advisory and wind chill warning was changed to extreme cold warning or something like that. Also, MRX discontinued frost and freeze advisories unless they occur well outside of when they would ordinarily occur. So, basically before October or after May 1. Like it or not, they will likely never issue many, if any frost or freeze advisories or warnings again. Not every state is doing this, but I think OHX and MEG are as well. So you won’t hardly see any of those warnings in TN again. -
December 11th - 12th clipper potential
Jed33 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wow! I woke up around 1 this morning and was shocked. The heaviest snow of the night was coming down hard. Somehow I picked up between 1/2-1inch of snow at that time. This morning it’s melted from underneath down to between 1/2-3/4 inch. It’s all on the grassy surfaces, rooftops, trees, and vehicles though. Not really that much, if any accumulation on my street. Really an overachiever here. I guess the rgem and RAP pretty much sniffed this one out. Seems like the rgem does really well with clippers, but like others had said, it’s been so long since we had one I forgot what a clipper looks like -
December 11th - 12th clipper potential
Jed33 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fine flakes but pretty steady to occasionally moderate here now. Light dusting on car and grass -
December 11th - 12th clipper potential
Jed33 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seeing some flakes every now and then here now -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’ve noticed the rgem was teasing my area a lot the last few runs. The euro to some degree as well -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Picked up a nice dusting here at the house overnight and actually saw more in town as I drove in to work this morning. Guessing there was maybe 1/2in or so at one point during the night here in town just judging by what’s left on rooftops and grass. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
A heavy sleet band just plowed through I mean just smoked us! Only problem was it only lasted for about a minute or so. It was cool while it lasted. Tried to coat the walkway and grass. The temp fell from 40 to 38 during the time. That was unexpected, at least by me! -
37 here at my house on the border of Hawkins/Hamblen Co
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Been seeing some flurries here as well this evening.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Jed33 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Now seeing some sleet here as well. -
I was working in Camp Creek earlier today and took this picture around 2PM. It’s winter meets Fall! Still some color down low and color up top!
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In a very cautious but interesting twist, MRX just put nearly the whole CWA in an advisory. Updated the forecast discussion to mention that they feel the CAM models are correct with numerous snow showers developing between 11AM-3PM and that there is high confidence of heavier bands setting up which will reduce visibility and make travel difficult. They do say they do not have much confidence at all in where the bands will set up. Out of an abundance of caution feel it necessary to issue an advisory. Hmmm that doesn’t sound like the MRX of old haha! Good to see them acknowledge the potential!
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Getting a nice snow shower here this morning. Woohoo! First of the season. Nice little dusting on the car, grass, and leaves.
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I agree about Morristown/Dandridge. Including Jefferson City and Talbott where the NWS is located. I have a buddy near Panther Creek State Park who picked up 1.25in at his house. I only got .41 at my house though as the heavy rain fell apart as it moved NE. The same thing happened again today where the west side got heavy rain and barely any to show by the time it got here.
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It’s been an incredibly wet week here as well. We had 3 rounds of storms today, the last one was like a wall of water! It was insane how hard it was raining! The wind blew so hard that it blew tons of leaves off trees everywhere, and even blew down some trees around here. Also, we had a couple minutes of small pea to dime sized hail. Unfortunately, I don’t have a great idea of exactly how much rain we got bc my weather station picked up a bunch of leaves from the trees across the street. My neighbor had over 4in of rain in his gauge but he said that was a combination of today and Tuesday. As some others have mentioned, at least here in E TN it has been very wet from the last part of July through August, and that is continuing. I’ll take it! After living through 2016 and some very dry years the last few years, I’ll agree, it’s nice to see it rain like this!
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TYS is in Blount Co and like John said, it’s highly paved and concreted. It has its own mini heat island effect unfortunately. It definitely does not receive as much snow generally as surrounding areas.
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Yesterday we picked up 4 rounds of heavy rain. Almost tropical like. Everytime it looked like it was going to let up, it would come right back again in buckets! We ended up with 2.48in for the day along with the cooler weather as well. So thankful for that! I did see where the rain ultimately won out last night in Bristol at the Braves v Reds game. Hopefully they get it in today.
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Finally and I do mean finally picked up a great rain this morning. I had been missing out on most of the good rains for awhile as well. This morning though, a storm just blew up out of nowhere around 9 and it just dumped for about an hour. Picked up 2.1in total, most of that fell in about 30 min. It’s literally been close to a year since we had that kind of rain that fast at my house, and it’s not rained that much total in one day this year until now. We’ve had some 1inch or so days but not above 2 until now. Thankful for sure! I hope everyone else that has missed out gets some good rain soon!
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I did not have a true dusting at my house, but did have a tiny amount on the cars and rooftops. There must have been a few heavier bands though because there were places around town here that did receive a solid dusting.
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Switched over to snow here too now. A decent snow shower is currently passing through.
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I wondered how it was up that way. My house is on the southern end of that band SW of Rogersville. It was absolutely ripping between 5-6 this morning. I was like a kid watching it myself. Fun times!
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Wow! Woke up and the road is covered. Went out and measured 1/2in on it and my snowboard had 3/4in on it but looks like the wind has been blowing it some. From about 5-6 this morning it was ripping! Some other landscape timbers behind the house where the wind does not blow I measured close to 2in which includes yesterday (it did not hardly melt) and overnight bringing the total to right at 2in for the 2 days!
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Yep I posted at just about the same time. Looks like it’s Central Valley north and east. Hopefully it back builds some more for even the southern valley.
