Jed33
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Everything posted by Jed33
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Looks like a batch of moisture is moving in now. Although I don’t know if it’s reaching the ground. Sure is showing up on radar though.
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The 18z rgem was something else! Too bad it doesn’t go beyond 84hrs!
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Really coming down in town here now. Looks like some small bands are forming over the area.
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Light snow overnight and a decent dusting on everything this morning including the roads. Temp is 17.
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My sister lives in Oxford. She says the same thing. No power, trees falling everywhere. Not a good situation but she does have heat and the essentials. It could be a long road of recovery in that area though.
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The temperature gradient from Pigeon Forge to Gattlinburg and Wears Valley is crazy! Just a few miles and 25 degrees difference!!!
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
Jed33 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I saw this on FB this morning and thought I’d post it here. This article is about Morristown in general, but it sounds like it was quite the snowstorm for E TN. I didn’t live here then, but I know that was some kind of winter for sure, even in N MS where I was at the time.- 140 replies
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Mostly freezing rain here now too. Cars glazed over and walkway is crunchy under the sleet. The snow is fast compacting. Temp is 27 dewpoint 26.
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It’s changed to sleet here too but picked up about 1/2in on the grass and dirt before it switched to sleet.
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It is absolutely dumping turkey feathers here right now no mix at all but just pouring snow! Huge flakes!!
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Coming down at a good clip now moderate I’d say with mostly dime sized flakes
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Light snow here too with some bigger flakes here and there
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Not sure if we have any posters from N.E. AR but man this is some extremely heavy snow according to Radar between Memphis and Searcy AR!
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Ha! On that run the gfs is like I’ll put a lakes low up there but I’ll also make it so cold over the TN Valley that it will produce enough cold for the gulf coast to have its own snow storm! Ridiculous!
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They haven’t done 4PM updates in months. They update the afd around 12:45-1:45 PM and AM every day and that’s it. I assume it’s the budget cuts. I could be wrong. They very seldom, and I mean very seldom will update in the 9:45-11AM or PM range nowadays and one of those days was today. They also do their zone forecasts the same way. It’s kinda sad.
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Definitely south of where it had been the 12k is too
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The 0z RGEM looks a little further south/ colder as well compared to 18z.
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When the Canadian is the warmest model-uh oh!
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Look at the end of the system around hr 84. That may make up for some of the frustration. It’s been playing with this idea for several runs
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It looked to me that the Ukie was also a little colder and just a tick south as well.
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Right or wrong, that 18z GFS was the coldest day after day, week after week that I’ve ever seen. I counted 15 frames where the temp was single digits or lower between 6z and 12z timestamps on that run. For cold that is beyond impressive!
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Wow that would be something else say 10in of snow, a quarter inch of zr and another 10inches on top for me. That middle layer would turn it all to a frozen cement within a day or two! That would be on the ground for weeks esp in the shade!
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A thought that I had earlier- if we could go back and look at the sequence of snowstorms from 1960, would it look like this on the models?
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Man I have really enjoyed following along with everyone here in Canada! This place is just so unbelievably beautiful though it’s hard to describe! They have had a record start to the snowfall season here, it has dwindled down recently. Still way better than the US West though. I will do my best to bring it back with me-been thinking that it could look just about like it does here (minus the huge mtns of course). I like the fact that the AI and OP runs seem to be closer together now. Hopefully we can all reel in a big snow and avoid the ice!
