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  2. CoastalWx

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Did you step on doggie doo and track it in the house today? Very angry.
  3. 7/15: (89's running wild this season) EWR: 89 LGA: 89 ACY: 88 TEB: 88 BLM: 87 PHL: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 New Brunswick: 86 NYC: 85 TTN: 85
  4. Ginx snewx

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Adult and pup,yes moving water is where its at.
  5. Jackstraw

    July 2019 General Discussion

    Luckily it takes a lot for this area to hit 100 compared to points west. Not quite sure why but when the heats on we tend to run 5 or so degrees cooler around here. Not like it makes that much difference if dews are in the 70's and lows in the mid 70's. I'd still like to wait for the dog days for this stuff to start.
  6. Ended up with a high of 86.3 for today.
  7. powderfreak

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Damn, that's terrifying to think your dog can die after swimming in a pond. Thanks for the heads up. We stick to moving water for the most part, the river out back that runs from Mansfield to town... but most homes in the hills out of the municipal water supply tend to have ponds. Pretty much all construction above 1,000ft seems to have a pond in the front yard for fire reasons...without a pond for the fire department to pump from, you are pretty much out of luck if your house catches fire and it's going to burn to the ground. That would be devastating though to have the dog die from doing something it loves like swimming.
  8. Ginx snewx

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Easy who? Whats the other side? You definitely have TDS. I have said the same thing for years.
  9. Ginx snewx

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    PF, Also Monday, state officials confirmed two dogs that recently died in Stowe were poisoned by toxins from cyanobacteria. https://www.necn.com/news/new-england/Cyanobacteria-Concerns-Highlighted-in-Vermont-512754151.html
  10. CTValleySnowMan

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    87 here and in Westfield, MA. BDL seems to have drifted a couple degrees high IMHO.
  11. STILL N OF PIKE

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    I believe I had 83 in Nashua
  12. powderfreak

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    BOS also maxed at 87F... sneaky high temps, I had no idea the lower elevations in SNE were 85-90F today. Hills and NNE were 70s for highs it looks like. Seems like a more drastic contrast than you'd normally get with CLR skies and deep layer NW flow. Must've been just enough compressional heating off the hills to really bake those SNE lower elevations.
  13. JakkelWx

    July Discobs 2019

    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heat_index_MAX/bchi_day5.html It's about to get HOT
  14. hudsonvalley21

    Interior NW & NE Burbs 2019

    Same here too. Ground is rock hard now, gave up watering the lawn a week ago. Just watering the flowers and garden. With the upcoming torch this weekend, it would be senseless to water the lawn. Also not many trees to provide shade. Rain total for the month so far here is a whopping 0.22 in the Davis.
  15. TauntonBlizzard2013

    Summer 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    Anyone here have experience with a grinder sewer pump up system? We have a pump in a septic style small pit that pumps sewage out to the main line. Alarm has gone off twice in the last week for levels above normal within the tank. We switch the pump to “hand” and it pumps all the way down. What would be the reason for it not kicking on normally when in “auto”? Floats not working properly? Electrical issue? My guess is the pump itself is okay because when manual it pumps fine
  16. powderfreak

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Honestly, that type of difference is what we typically see up here between BTV at 300ft and the base of Bolton Valley at 2,200ft. It's not like one site was in the clouds or anything... both had CLR obs most of the day with 5-10mph NW breeze. And it's like ORH struggled to hit 78F too looking at the obs, while BDL sat at 89F for a couple hourly obs.
  17. STILL N OF PIKE

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    It’s like ORH airport is 2400’ and BDL 50’ 89 seems absurd
  18. Hoth

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    100% agree Steve. A little recurving home brew would be a welcome addition for the south facing beaches.
  19. powderfreak

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Some of you SNE guys can riddle me this... How the hell did BDL see 89F today while ORH had a high of 78F? That's twice the dry adiabatic rate and they are only 1,000ft elevation difference? I mean I know you'll have some compressional heating at BDL on downslope NW flow... but an 11-degree difference between those two sites on a deep layer NW flow day?
  20. donsutherland1

    July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

    In part due to historic heat in parts of Europe (where more extreme heat could develop next week), the GISS global temperature anomaly for June was +0.93°C. That surpassed the June record of +0.82°C, which was set in 2016. The January-June 2019 period ranks 3rd warmest on record. In the East, the heat has yet to be severe. However, that is about to change later this week. Consistent with the pattern suggested by historic MJO cases, some of the hottest weather so far this season appears likely to develop during the second half of July. The Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions could experience a heat wave during the second half of this week. The potential for one or two days with high temperatures of 95° or above is on the table. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was -15.02 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.650. Blocking could largely persist through much of the remainder of July. Blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Already, even as the July 1-10 period saw a preliminary AO average of -1.108, readings were above and much above normal in the Middle Atlantic region. Should blocking generally persist, a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. Some of the early guidance for August hints at above to possibly much above normal readings in parts of the Northeast. On July 14, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.838 (RMM). The July 13-adjusted amplitude was 1.088. The first half of July was much warmer than normal in New York City and much of the Middle Atlantic region. In Central Park, the July 1-15 mean temperature was 79.0° (18th warmest on record). Records for New York City go back to 1869. In Philadelphia, the mean temperature was 79.7° (15th warmest on record). Records in Philadelphia go back to 1872. In Washington, DC, the July 1-15 mean temperature was 81.1° (19th warmest on record). Records for Washington, DC go back to 1871. The second half of July will very likely see a continuation of the generally much warmer than normal readings in much of the Middle Atlantic region. Since 1974 when MJO data was first recorded, there have been 6 cases (1988, 1996, 2004, 2008, 2010, and 2013) when the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for 4 or more days during the July 1-10 period. The average temperature for those cases in New York City was 78.2° (1.7° above normal). The latest guidance suggests a mean temperature near 80.0°. In 4/6 (67%) cases, there was at least one heat wave during the July 16-31 period and 4/6 (67%) those cases had a peak temperature of 95° or above during that period. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently 80%.      
  21. Yesterday
  22. powderfreak

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    The usual cycle... his hype and shtick built-up over time, then there was a little piggy pile about how it was getting old, and ORH posted a good beginner's guide to interpreting DIT's posts.... then he takes a week off or something. He hasn't posted since then anyway. He'll come back when it's 95/72 in full glory later this week I'm sure. He's lurking at times.
  23. Baroclinic Zone

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Drinking shitty beer
  24. raindancewx

    2019 ENSO

    Nino1+2 Nino3 Nino34 Nino4 Week SST SSTA SST SSTA SST SSTA SST SSTA 05JUN2019 22.9-0.4 27.2 0.6 28.6 0.9 29.9 1.1 12JUN2019 23.1 0.1 26.9 0.4 28.4 0.7 29.8 1.0 19JUN2019 22.4-0.3 26.5 0.2 28.1 0.5 29.6 0.8 26JUN2019 22.1-0.3 26.5 0.4 27.8 0.3 29.0 0.2 03JUL2019 21.8-0.3 26.1 0.2 28.0 0.6 29.7 0.9 10JUL2019 21.7-0.2 25.9 0.1 27.7 0.4 29.7 0.9 07JUN2017 23.1-0.1 26.9 0.3 28.1 0.4 29.3 0.5 14JUN2017 22.9 0.0 26.7 0.2 28.2 0.5 29.4 0.6 21JUN2017 22.9 0.3 26.7 0.4 28.3 0.7 29.5 0.7 28JUN2017 22.8 0.4 26.5 0.4 28.1 0.7 29.4 0.6 05JUL2017 21.7-0.3 26.1 0.2 28.0 0.6 29.4 0.6 12JUL2017 21.8 0.0 26.1 0.4 27.8 0.5 29.3 0.5 08JUN2016 23.7 0.6 26.6 0.0 27.8 0.1 29.5 0.6 15JUN2016 23.3 0.4 26.6 0.2 27.8 0.2 29.5 0.7 22JUN2016 22.4-0.1 25.9-0.3 27.2-0.4 29.3 0.5 29JUN2016 22.6 0.4 25.9-0.1 27.1-0.4 29.1 0.3 06JUL2016 22.2 0.2 25.5-0.4 27.0-0.4 29.1 0.3 13JUL2016 21.8 0.0 25.1-0.6 26.7-0.6 29.1 0.3 Nino 3.4 is around 28.2C this May-July, v. 27.6C last May-July - favoring a wetter far southern US. Not much signal for winter from the -NAO in May-July.
  25. C.A.P.E.

    July Mid/Long Range

    That must have been the legacy.
  26. weatherwiz

    July pattern(s) and discussion

    Any posts about the Super Derecho? 24-years ago today! What an event. Woke up about 6:00-6:30 AM that day, wasn't feeling well and go out of bed and went into the living room to turn on The Weather Channel. Waited about a half an hour and went to my mom to see what was up...turned out the cable lineup CHANGED that day. So we found it and BOOM...there it was. Fell in love with t'storms since. CAPE well into the thousands before 7 AM WE NEED SOMETHING LIKE THIS AGAIN
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