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Pope told me last freeze was already in the past.
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2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are currently on track for a very strong event potentially recording an ONI of +2.0 or greater like we recently experienced in 23-24 based on current OHC and WWB intensity. The biggest factor will be getting the WWBs to continue through June in order for the subsurface El Niño signal to become fully established at the surface. We can remember the strong EWB in June 2014 which halted the El Niño development when the models had been forecasting +2.0 for 2014-2015. It’s funny how we eventually got the super El Niño a year later. So it was delayed but not denied. That was the last time that the models forecast a +2.0 event that didn’t verify. So unless this process gets derailed by EWBs next few months, there won’t be anything to slow the development going forward. So we will need about 3 more months of observations to know if this one can reach its top potential. https://news.yale.edu/2016/02/08/new-insights-stalled-el-ni-o-2014 -
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28F down here with a light breeze
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
25 this morning. -
An historic event to be able to swim in the Pacific this early in the year especially for people that have been on vacation from colder climates and didn’t expect the SSTs to be this warm.
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Thank god for the weak La Nina to Neutral Enso conditions this past winter. Next winter we might be able to juice it up but probably way too much if it's strong.
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He focuses on tropical weather. He followed me a year ago and I gave him a follow back -
To end the season. Boston : over 60 inches NYC : 42 inches
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The PV disruption was a failure this month .
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19F here. But no wind, so the skiing should be ok
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Im a big weenie and I don't even know half of the people you post on here from Twitter. How do you find these people lol.
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Would love a bit of refresher for Wachusett. Looking a bit sketchy.
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RIP Roger. I will miss your occasional realism.
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0.31” here from yesterdays storms
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10.4F And such a nice sunny morning shaping up but god damn…
- Today
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17.7° Brutality
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My son checked into this last year, I think my son said for the most part it's for the university. But if you have $$$ you can have access to it. -
.55" yesterday. 29 this morning, another freeze.
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No, it really doesn’t….
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ultimate strength TBD, but there is no denying that a major El Niño event is coming -
We got to DCA terminal 1 at 3am for a 6am flight. Southwest didn’t even open luggage drop off until 4am. But we were through security by 422.
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EPS getting interesting next weekend
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Snow showers near Montauk
