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You've been pointing out anomalies, saying there is a chance. This is the Feb months SE ridge correlation to -PNA.. 48-20 is 73 years, so 73 points of monthly data. Breaking it down daily probably gives higher correlation numbers.. our mean temp in Feb in -PNA is Upper 40s, everything considered.

The world is warmer than it has been and is continuing to warm largely due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Extreme cold periods are becoming warmer and less frequent than they once were. Nevertheless, that does not mean that such cold, when it occurs regionally, should be dismissed out-of-hand. The kind of sustained deep cold that has occurred in the Great Lakes Region and Northeast is uncommon today. It is not trivial. It is one of this winter's highlights. For example, New York City saw a 16-day mean temperature below 20° for the 125th time since record-keeping began in 1869. However, it was the first such occurrence since 1982. That was 44 years ago. That rarity makes it noteworthy. Moreover, it's plausible that at least some of us might not see such sustained and deep cold again during our lifetimes given how infrequent it has become. That places like Phoenix are on course for their warmest winter on record does not minimize the cold that has just occurred elsewhere. That it has occurred in a warmer and warming world makes it all the more remarkable.

He's a debate coach. I would probably quit the forum if it were me vs PSU in a debate.

That storm was so insane lol. Highest rates and totals I've ever seen, and it was pure cement. It was almost too much, got my plow truck stuck horribly. Also lost power.

My lean right now for this Sunday is a 3 to 6 type of front end snow thump that mixes or changes over depending on the final track. I think think that the chances of a high end event are diminishing, but I think a low end Warning to Advisory level snow are still on the table for many of us.

Round 2...debate!

I mean it’s Feb 10th now. Temp averages start going up pretty substantially from here and the sun is noticeably getting stronger. It’s the equivalent of August 10th in the summer-can still be hot but the worst is in the past.

tried to PM you but it says you cant receive messages

You just deflected right past my point and launched right back into yours. Ignoring the “why do we keep seeing ridges that were unheard of 50 years ago commonly now”

I remember that one, was a fun event in Nassau County. I think I had 10” or so. Was one of those that blew up for NYC and NE into New England.

That'll change in a couple days, and then again a couple days after that. Wash, rinse, repeat.

Yeah you could tell the ice was thick from Douglaston all the way through Bayside and Whitestone and even frozen underneath the bridge.

Seems like ever since the great 2018 winter, we’ve only had one good winter (2021). 2019 wasn’t too far off, and we just need one more storm to get to average here. Maybe it’s a one decade cycle. Hopefully lol

OH HOLY FUCK NOOO. fucking cell phones. yeah, it was definitely "like" not...ugh. not that it made sense in the context of the post anyway, but if that was the impression given off then I truly do apologize for the misunderstanding. I still meant the rest of it, but most definitely not any Jewish slur.

you're good looks amazing for WNE/CNE...but yeah

Even so, it's a bad pattern by a long shot. Classic -PNA. It's warmed a little yeah, but the 2000s pattern does not favor snow when that >250dm ridge appears in the Pacific. Your map yesterday was really missing that anomaly. Pay attention to it more - it's a pretty good correlation, on both sides. medium range models do have a slight bias.

I would honestly be terrified to ever debate you on any subject. thankfully I am relatively sure we likely agree on a lot of things..

For the ct folks

My March 2023 Total was 2.5” NO THANKS.

You’re still missing my point. We don’t get marginally bad pac patterns anymore because heights are increasing. Ridges are getting stronger. A +400dm ridge in the n pac was freaking unheard of 50 years ago and now it happens multiple times every year! When the pac goes bad it doesn’t go a little bad it goes to hell in a hand basket and overwhelms the pattern with warmth. But you’re acting like that is normal and not part of climate change. You’re not supposed to see a +400dm ridge this often. You can’t have it both ways. You can’t say this has nothing to do with climate change then act like something that was unheard of in the past is normal.

Hopefully both lol. March can be a very interesting month with a ton of variability.

Agree.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html First & Final Call:

I will turn into a Full On Mass Snow Murderer if this verifies.

Nam freak out posts. Like clockwork