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I admit I was very wrong with my call for December. I hope I am wrong with my call for January as well. In fact; I’m usually more wrong than right when it comes to this stuff.

The weekend looks to be mainly dry with colder than normal temperatures. A few flurries are possible in parts of the region early Sunday. The first week of January could have a mean temperature below 30° in New York City. If that happends, it would be the coldest opening week of January since 2018. The only years since 2000 with a sub-30° mean temperature for the opening week of January were 2001, 2010, 2014 and 2018. Milder weather will likely develop on or around January 7th. The milder period appears likely to last for about a week, but there is some uncertainty about its duration. Afterward, conditions could become more favorable for both cold and snowfall, especially if the PNA goes positive. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around December 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.68°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +9.29 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.828 today.

Careful, some people are going to whinge at you when you do.

Lots of folks on here seemingly are in need of other hobbies. Pick something! It will help you fill the time. I'll be the first to admit that having snow chances fade is really disappointing. In the past 2 months I've gone down the espresso/coffee rabbit hole. Trying a new latte/coffee drink recipe most mornings is a fun experience. Many of the folks on here are craft beer enthusiasts - indulge in that! I also plane spot where I get the chance, spend time with your pets/family/etc - do a big puzzle, grab a new video game. There are countless ways you can get lost in something new to pass the time until a snow threat becomes apparent. Or,...the less desirable option....if you work...lose yourself in the ho hum of the 9-5... It doesn't make the sting of missed snow chances any less...but it helps pass the time until a new threat emerges.

Gonna channel my inner Brian numbers and weenie the shit out of some posts moving forward

Believe it or not.. its not all about how much more snow he gets than the rest of us lol

True and a lot if them also come as a pattern is breaking down, as crazy as that sounds

Yeah well that's a big part of his other interests.

KIAD had 26.6” in 18-19, pretty solid winter

he does?

And kids

He’s in Florida

Happy New Year to you guys!! That, my friend, is beautiful and hopefully we will cash in at some point I'm not Larry, but will chime in to say IMO it doesn't matter as much here in the south. We've scored during warm and cold winters. IMO the only thing that really matters is blocking. Don't get me wrong, having a cold winter sure does help if you are in the upper se or the mts, but without blocking you are putting your chips all in on passing clippers, sliders and the hope that the cold air will be established. PS....I deleted your thread as requested, but fyi there is not a limit on how many threads are made

Ive loved it...though I do want a big storm.

I vaguely remember him saying something about a ski trip??

This is actually a decently good observation. I’d urge caution with believing the models considering how poorly they’ve performed, especially with their warm bias. Shown below are the GEFS and EPS forecast biases two weeks out over the last 90 days (courtesy of @GaWx). That’s all you need to see.

technically our week of winter occurred in the fall.

Indeed a strong El Nino would usually be a torch December in Michigan, and likely the warmest month of an overall mild winter. This December was 4-5° colder than avg.

Vaguely recall PSU mentioned going skiing somewhere around this time or something

No, its complete d bag shit for the mentally ill once you step outside fantasy land. AI Overview +9 Likes and online approval/disapproval foster addiction, damage self-esteem through constant comparison to unrealistic ideals, fuel anxiety and depression, encourage superficial "gamified" social interactions, and can lead to negative behaviors like seeking validation through risky posts or becoming susceptible to manipulation, all while distorting genuine human connection for dopamine hits . Psychological Impacts Addiction & Dopamine: Likes trigger dopamine, creating a reward loop that can become addictive, similar to gambling. Lowers Self-Esteem: Unfavorable social comparison to curated "perfect" lives leads to feelings of inadequacy and lower self-worth. Anxiety & Depression: Chasing likes and fearing disapproval creates stress, anxiety, and can worsen mental health. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Seeing others' activities can trigger feelings of exclusion and inadequacy. Social & Behavioral Impacts Superficiality: "Gamified" sociality reduces complex interactions to metrics (likes/dislikes), hindering deep connections. Unrealistic Standards: Influencers promote unattainable beauty and lifestyle standards, distorting reality. Manipulation: Platforms use these metrics to keep users engaged, while users manipulate content for validation. Communicative Laziness: The ease of a "like" discourages thoughtful engagement and nuanced discussion. Negative Feedback Loop Disapproval Hurts: A lack of likes or receiving dislikes can be particularly damaging, leading to insecurity, isolation, and even more desperate posting to get validation. Echo Chambers: Upvotes and downvotes can amplify certain opinions, making it harder to encounter diverse viewpoints and fueling negativity or extremism.

This place is a riot. Goddamn.

Picked up another half inch of fluffy snow last night and another 0.2" this morning. So sparkly. At 18.0" on the season now, DTW at 17.5".

LOL He has other interests, as all of us should/do have.

Negative Nelly.

Flurries here