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Pats are due for a trap game.

Yep. We nervous.

I have seen him in the sauna, i would strongly disagree.

Think this is pretty realistic though the RA/SN line may be a tad too close to the coast in Mass...not sure I see all snow on west side of downtown Boston. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025113018&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=ref1km_ptype&m=rrfs_a#

I am making a note of that right now!! If the radar looks good there, I will 100% post up right there. Anyone is welcome to join if they please too!

You’ve got to factor it in

Lol…the NAM IS NOT HAPPENING KEVIN. We are not getting 1.7” of QPF. But torture yourself if you must.

Go to my favorite, the Starlight Diner in Hanover. It's right on 94 (Route 30 in MD becomes 94 in PA.) Food is decent and prices are great.

this forecast is so model dependent as well depending on what model nwa hugs. they claim they do a blend of models to do the forecast but when most models say all snow and only one says a mix of snow and rain. makes me question if they just model hug 1 model.

That looks consistent with yesterday's I believe, or the day before. But, consistency does not prove accuracy in this case. Although maybe the ensembles here are better than the AI model itself.

Don't you think for one minute that's not in the back of my mind.

12k nam is the yin to the ec op yang. Everything else is near consensus.

No, keep posting. It's good having balanced and I totally understand how you feel the past 10 years have sucked for snow

We NAM!

its going to start about 1am and snow all day into that night. Most likely we will have snow on all roads if the strength of the storm holds true with temps in the mid 30s. secondary roads will be covered for sure and the main roads will have some build up as well. we all know penndot doesnt do a good job for the most part on snow storms cleaning up. they put much of the effort into pre treating. I could see 1-2 inchs on the main roads mixed with some slush less travelled will have more of course.

Start to worry

With the way the games have gone for the faves so far this week the Giants may beat the Pats. lol

So…for my home location-do I need to contact my neighbor to clear the sidewalk? Brookline can be dicks and ticket if you don’t clear. We’re not expecting to be home before Thursday night. I was thinking at my location it would be mainly slop.

Cold air is nice and all, but we’ll need some stormy weather to accompany it. Otherwise it might be warm and wet, and then cold and dry, which has been a recurring these for the last 7 years except for 2021. But hopefully, as long as things remain active across CONUS, we will get our share when the time comes.

NAM at 18z…lol. Completely and utterly out to lunch.

A cooler than normal November is concluding. New York City is finishing with a monthly mean temperature of 47.2°, which is 0.8° below normal (0.5° below the older 1981-2010 baseline). A cold front will bring showers tonight into early tomorrow. Afterward, a prolonged stretch of below normal temperatures will likely continue into or through the second week of December. December 1-10 will be a solidly colder than normal period. The potential exists for the coldest first days of December since at least 2010 (34.6°, 6th coldest December 1-10 since 2000). The five coldest December 1-10 periods since 2000 were: 1. 30.6°, 2002 2. 32.2°, 2003 3. 32.4°, 2000 4. 33.1°, 2005 5. 33.4°, 2007 All 5 of these cases had measurable snowfall in Central Park. A storm will affect the region on Tuesday into Wednesday, bringing 0.50"-1.50" precipitation to the region. There is a distinct possibility that New York City could see its first measurable snowfall of the season, even as the storm will be mainly a rain event. Interior sections have the highest probability of seeing accumulations of snow. The coldest air mass so far this season could move into the region late in the week. The temperature will likely tumble into the 20s Thursday night into Friday in New York City. Another system could bring some light precipitation to the region during the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around November 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.16°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was -2.04 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.064 today.

For the NAM archives:

Actually, this is still considered early for the region for appreciable snowfall. FDK average in December is still only like 3-4" with peak snow climo opening end of the month. We have 1-2" forecast for your area right now, so it should look pretty in those parts come Tuesday morning. I'll be out and about up towards the PA line enjoying the snowfall. Thinking of where to post up. Want to get a nice breakfast at a diner and watch the snow fall

Rams lol

Wow!! Not heard that name in quite a while