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  2. SPC has a green check mark day 1 marginal risk out today just for 5% damaging winds .
  3. Not even fall yet, and 2021 was pretty warm so we'll see.
  4. Warmest fall on record looks likely
  5. 1973 is the one I don't like, but I don't expect the strongly +AO that that season had...even NAO maybe more favorable. Biggest issue here maybe the ridge suppressing storms at times.
  6. A +1.5C (+2.7F) winter in Detroit is a DJF temp of 31.1F. A -1.0C (-1.8F) winter in Houston is a DJF temp of 53.4F. I better pack my cowboy boots and hat now
  7. I expect some 2019 records get broken in a few places. Fortunately looks like it’ll retrograde back west soon after so I don’t see persistence of the heat as much as that year
  8. I know youre likely exaggerating, but I have friends in the UK and I can guarantee Chicago will have a colder/snowier winter than London.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  10. Record warmth now covers most of the Gulf. northern Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Atlantic. Wouldn't take much for a spin-up to occur in a prime spot with the right steering flow to put parts of the US in danger over the coming weeks. I do worry that the narrative of "record low" activity (which is true) is going to cause people to let their guards down. @GaWxshowed proof of that. Additionally, if this combo does not occur in 2026, then that becomes extra concerning for 2027, especially if there is a flip back to a cool ENSO state.
  11. 0.01” here for September, hopefully this weekend produces
  12. Both the Euro and GFS are hinting at a record Southeast ridge next week.
  13. in a few years the definition of torch will be +20
  14. Today
  15. look at this mauve stinger sting i got because of climate change
  16. Yeah. I set my t-stat to 68 cool from pretty much April to October. This is what my central air usage looks like just about every year.
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  18. i think that's in AMS' official glossary, yeah... 5 = torch
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